NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	109		Excitement	8.3 [237]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +59.3%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	3.1 [416]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -17.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.59	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.57,0.59	0.21	0.39	0.01	11	96%	0.66	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21	0.16	0.06	0.01	11	77%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.11	0.01	14	59%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.12	0.01	5	58%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
DeAndre Jordan	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	9	67%	0.13	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Wesley Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	10	28%	-0.11	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.03	0.21	-0.03	13	54%	0.27	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.16	0.01	10	70%	0.26	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	92%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	8	31%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1	-0.10	0.08	-0.16	0.02	13	68%	0.16	4	-0.26	15	87%	0.03
Raul Neto	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	9	50%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	35.1	14.6	31.3	2.3	38.5	146.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +33.4%

UTA -1.2%

UTA -1.3%

LAC +22.8%

UTA -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.6	14.9	118.5	114.3	105.1
season	14.8	16.3		106.6	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.9		102.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.2	14.7	15.0	16.5	15.8
UTA	15.5	14.1	17.7	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	50	52	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.31	18	-13	31	14.8	17.1	-2.29	16.6	14.4	2.26
JJ Redick	65	62	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.50	10	-5	15	15.6	16.4	-0.88	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Luc Mbah a Moute	58	56	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.57	2	3	-1	15.8	15.8	0.00	16.3	14.6	1.75
DeAndre Jordan	67	64	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.53	3	2	1	15.7	16.1	-0.35	16.1	14.5	1.61
Chris Paul	69	69	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-3	11	15.4	17.1	-1.68	15.8	15.1	0.74
Pablo Prigioni	23	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	8	-11	17.1	15.4	1.68	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Josh Smith	11	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	11	-17	16.7	15.7	1.02	14.2	15.8	-1.63
Cole Aldrich	25	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	7	-9	16.1	15.7	0.35	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Lance Stephenson	18	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	11	-17	19.3	15.0	4.29	13.4	16.1	-2.68
Jamal Crawford	47	48	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.29	2	3	-1	15.4	16.3	-0.86	14.9	16.5	-1.68
Wesley Johnson	27	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.24	-1	6	-7	16.4	15.6	0.88	15.6	15.7	-0.02

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	17	17	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.14	0	-5	5	15.8	15.6	0.14	19.2	15.1	4.11
Jeff Withey	37	35	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.14	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.9	-0.50	16.1	15.7	0.42
Alec Burks	35	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	0	-5	15.2	15.9	-0.78	15.5	16.1	-0.60
Raul Neto	54	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.26	7	-12	19	15.4	16.0	-0.64	16.9	14.0	2.95
Trey Lyles	35	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-7	9	16.8	14.9	1.82	16.4	15.4	1.02
Rodney Hood	49	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.33	6	-11	17	15.2	16.2	-0.96	16.1	15.5	0.69
Trey Burke	37	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	1	-7	16.3	15.2	1.14	14.2	16.9	-2.68
Elijah Millsap	21	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.06	-12	7	-19	17.0	15.3	1.70	13.8	16.4	-2.61
Joe Ingles	50	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	14.7	16.8	-2.02	14.9	17.0	-2.07
Gordon Hayward	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	1	-7	15.7	15.5	0.22	15.9	15.7	0.13
Trevor Booker	50	53	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.49	-7	2	-9	15.9	15.4	0.51	15.7	16.1	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.42,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.7,0.72,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.16,0	90.8%
IND 81, CLE 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.1,0	90.0%
HOU 90, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.04,0	89.8%