NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	127		Excitement	11.5 [28]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +57.9%
Charlotte Hornets	124		Comeback	7.6 [176]		LVP	Seth Curry (PHI): -33.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.58	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.58	0.30	0.28	0.00	20	80%	0.68	3	-0.10	14	86%	-0.01
Shake Milton	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	8	100%	0.22	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	18	49%	0.20	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.04
Georges Niang	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.01	4	78%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	4	112%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.01	-0.24	-0.00	7	64%	-0.03	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.34,-0.34	-0.17	-0.18	-0.00	11	26%	-0.14	4	-0.20	1	0%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44	0.44	0.23	0.22	0.01	24	67%	0.48	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
James Bouknight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.04	0.09	-0.00	8	61%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	5	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Cody Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	13	52%	0.12	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	16	44%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.03
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	19	31%	-0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.11,-0.18	-0.18	0.03	-0.21	-0.00	17	46%	-0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	28.8	14.6	26.2	1.6	37.2	1.6	13.1	148.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +66.1%

PHI +1.2%

PHI +25.8%

CHA -44.0%

PHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	14.5	122.1	121.6	110.8
season	15.2	14.0		112.4	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		112.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	17.8	11.5	14.7	18.0	17.6	15.4
CHA	15.0	14.8	17.4	14.7	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	80	77	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-10	23	15.7	14.4	1.32	15.5	15.2	0.37
Matisse Thybulle	39	39	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.57	1	2	-1	14.6	15.9	-1.27	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Joel Embiid	79	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-4	11	15.5	15.1	0.46	15.8	14.2	1.56
Shake Milton	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	-6	15	16.8	13.2	3.59	16.3	13.9	2.38
Seth Curry	77	79	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	-1	5	15.8	14.3	1.58	15.8	14.3	1.41
Georges Niang	35	33	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	7	-11	13.9	16.2	-2.29	15.0	15.7	-0.65
Isaiah Joe	25	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	4	-5	15.1	15.5	-0.46	14.3	15.8	-1.41
Andre Drummond	25	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	7	-11	15.1	15.5	-0.46	14.2	15.8	-1.56
Danny Green	50	48	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	8	-13	15.2	15.7	-0.49	15.7	15.2	0.43
Furkan Korkmaz	37	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	11	-19	13.9	16.3	-2.43	13.8	16.3	-2.53

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JT Thor	38	38	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-10	17	15.2	15.6	-0.41	16.9	14.6	2.35
Cody Martin	70	73	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.32	-10	7	-17	15.7	14.8	0.87	15.2	15.9	-0.72
Gordon Hayward	86	86	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.41	9	-12	21	15.6	14.6	0.97	15.4	15.7	-0.35
Nick Richards	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	5	-13	17.1	14.6	2.50	15.0	15.6	-0.61
P.J. Washington	63	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-6	9	14.3	17.3	-2.94	15.5	15.3	0.14
James Bouknight	44	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	0	-3	15.3	15.5	-0.18	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Kelly Oubre Jr.	84	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-3	3	15.4	15.8	-0.48	15.0	17.4	-2.37
Miles Bridges	81	84	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	7	-17	15.4	15.5	-0.04	15.7	14.1	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.19,0.29,0.42,0.48,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.85,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.42,0	88.9%
PHX 112, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.33,0.45,0.3,0.32,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.58,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.1,0.14,0	88.2%
DAL 103, VAN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.39,0.45,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.16,0	88.1%