NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	109		Excitement	9.9 [73]		MVP	Rudy Gay (UTA): +10.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	1.7 [721]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -20.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.06	0.00	7	86%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.10	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.03	9	61%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.10	-0.00	14	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	39%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.04,0.04,-0.07	0.12	-0.16	0.03	21	70%	0.23	7	-0.30	8	87%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	14	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	69%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	12	63%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	10	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,-0.09	-0.09	0.06	-0.15	0.00	11	62%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	9	33%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19	-0.19	0.02	-0.21	-0.01	15	45%	-0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.24,-0.2	-0.20	0.15	-0.31	0.04	19	74%	-0.09	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	29.2	14.5	23.5	2.6	30.0	124.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +68.8%

UTA +2.5%

CLE -11.8%

CLE -26.6%

UTA +17.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	15.9	14.5	114.7	114.9	110.8
season	14.8	15.2		115.1	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		108.5	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	15.3	13.2	15.3	14.6
CLE	15.4	16.0	15.6	16.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	72	72	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.52	11	-10	21	13.8	16.9	-3.04	16.8	12.9	3.98
Donovan Mitchell	76	75	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.52	10	-9	19	13.9	17.1	-3.11	16.6	13.2	3.39
Bojan Bogdanovic	63	63	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.46	9	-8	17	13.7	16.3	-2.58	17.2	13.3	3.92
Mike Conley	60	61	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-5	11	14.5	14.7	-0.28	16.5	14.8	1.64
Rudy Gobert	76	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	-2	5	14.4	15.4	-1.07	16.3	14.3	2.00
Joe Ingles	43	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	11	-21	15.7	13.6	2.06	13.7	17.7	-4.02
Jordan Clarkson	45	42	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	12	-23	15.8	13.5	2.26	14.2	17.3	-3.07
Rudy Gay	40	40	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.04	-13	14	-27	16.4	13.2	3.25	13.4	17.8	-4.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedi Osman	43	43	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.03	5	-6	11	13.6	17.9	-4.30	14.9	14.3	0.66
Isaac Okoro	50	52	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-5	9	16.1	15.7	0.35	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Lamar Stevens	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-1	1	12.0	16.4	-4.43	15.8	14.4	1.38
Kevin Love	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	4	-9	14.4	17.0	-2.53	14.9	14.3	0.66
Ricky Rubio	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-2	3	15.0	17.6	-2.56	14.9	13.9	0.96
Lauri Markkanen	66	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.43	1	-2	3	16.9	13.6	3.24	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Evan Mobley	72	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.56	0	-1	1	16.4	14.2	2.20	14.6	14.3	0.31
Jarrett Allen	62	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	3	-7	16.8	14.1	2.71	14.2	15.3	-1.07
Darius Garland	66	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.46	-7	6	-13	17.3	12.7	4.56	14.2	15.4	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.09,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.63,0.31,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 108, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	90.8%
DEN 106, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.55,0.32,0.42,0	90.8%
NJN 103, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.23,0.15,0	90.3%