NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	103		Excitement	8.7 [149]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +32.3%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	1.8 [231]		LVP	John Salmons (CHI): -17.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.23	-0.03	0.25	-0.01	12	55%	0.38	5	-0.14	7	71%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.06	0.02	14	69%	0.20	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.04
Rafer Alston	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	8	75%	0.20	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Josh Boone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.09,0.09,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	20	49%	0.13	3	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	13	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Bobby Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.32	0.32	0.02	0.33	0.03	23	54%	0.40	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.17,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.16	-0.01	17	67%	0.41	3	-0.14	6	83%	0.05
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.06	-0.00	13	59%	0.05	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04
Lindsey Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	6	54%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.15	0.02	11	50%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	30.2	15.4	28.2	2.4	39.5	142.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +10.6%

NJN +23.7%

NJN +0.6%

NJN +13.2%

NJN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	15.3	104.0	104.1	106.0
season	15.9	14.7		98.7	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.0		103.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.6	16.0	13.4	16.4	15.1
CHI	14.2	14.6	15.4	12.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	33	35	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.30	12	-10	22	14.8	15.3	-0.55	14.7	14.0	0.76
Chris Douglas-Roberts	75	74	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	1	0	15.1	15.3	-0.22	14.4	13.7	0.74
Courtney Lee	70	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.39	1	1	0	15.5	14.2	1.34	14.0	14.8	-0.81
Brook Lopez	80	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	3	-4	14.8	16.4	-1.61	14.1	14.8	-0.73
Bobby Simmons	26	27	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	-15	32	14.5	15.3	-0.84	16.0	13.6	2.36
Devin Harris	83	81	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	6	-10	15.5	13.0	2.53	14.0	15.4	-1.41
Trenton Hassell	5	5	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-1	4	20.4	14.8	5.56	15.4	14.2	1.20
Keyon Dooling	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	6	-10	12.8	16.2	-3.37	13.7	14.5	-0.76
Josh Boone	58	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	9	-16	16.3	13.5	2.75	14.1	14.5	-0.41
Tony Battie	34	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	10	-18	14.4	15.5	-1.13	13.9	14.4	-0.47

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	3	2	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	0	-2	18.7	14.1	4.55	5.0	15.3	-10.33
Derrick Rose	87	89	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.49	11	-13	24	13.7	18.9	-5.18	15.3	13.9	1.36
James Johnson	25	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	3	-8	14.3	14.2	0.03	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Brad Miller	36	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	5	-12	14.3	14.2	0.12	15.3	15.0	0.33
Luol Deng	72	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.42	5	-7	12	14.2	14.4	-0.25	15.3	14.7	0.60
Taj Gibson	70	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.31	1	-3	4	14.4	13.9	0.51	15.6	13.8	1.83
Joakim Noah	84	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-5	8	14.0	15.6	-1.57	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Jannero Pargo	31	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	10	-22	15.1	13.9	1.23	14.2	15.5	-1.29
John Salmons	77	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	2	-6	14.5	13.4	1.02	15.1	15.3	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.23,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.1,0.08,0	92.3%
WAS 83, IND 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.16,0	91.8%
DEN 107, MIN 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.09,0	91.4%