NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	8.3 [235]		MVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): +25.2%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	4.1 [529]		LVP	Reggie Bullock (DAL): -11.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Ntilikina	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	8	81%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	7	71%	0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.19	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	20	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.07
Jalen Brunson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.08	0.01	18	50%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	23	47%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.02
Sterling Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.16	0.00	13	66%	0.27	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.17	-0.01	11	58%	0.24	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.05
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	-0.00	11	45%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	21	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.00	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	-0.00	12	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	3.5	24.2	14.8	28.4	3.6	29.2	126.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.7%

PHX +2.8%

PHX +10.0%

PHX +7.7%

PHX +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	14.5	14.5	103.2	109.4	110.8
season	15.6	14.2		112.4	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.5		107.5	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.3	15.7	13.1	19.2	15.4
PHX	14.8	15.6	13.5	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	30	32	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-8	9	15.9	15.2	0.67	12.8	15.4	-2.52
Kristaps Porzingis	63	66	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.24	9	-16	25	14.6	17.1	-2.54	14.2	15.3	-1.08
Sterling Brown	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-4	1	16.8	14.8	1.94	11.6	15.8	-4.20
Frank Ntilikina	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-2	-3	17.0	14.5	2.43	14.8	14.4	0.41
Dwight Powell	44	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-5	3	15.2	15.6	-0.43	14.9	14.2	0.76
Willie Cauley-Stein	19	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	1	-9	14.1	15.7	-1.63	14.0	14.6	-0.64
Jalen Brunson	72	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-7	7	15.4	15.3	0.14	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Dorian Finney-Smith	61	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	-1	-5	15.3	15.7	-0.41	16.0	12.2	3.84
Tim Hardaway Jr.	72	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.35	-10	3	-13	15.5	15.2	0.25	15.3	12.4	2.92
Reggie Bullock	51	53	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	4	-15	15.1	15.7	-0.63	15.0	13.9	1.07

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	67	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-1	9	15.6	12.1	3.51	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Mikal Bridges	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	3	1	15.1	13.0	2.14	15.8	14.3	1.53
Deandre Ayton	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	3	1	15.1	13.1	1.96	16.0	13.8	2.15
Chris Paul	73	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	6	-5	14.5	14.4	0.11	15.8	14.2	1.61
Cameron Johnson	44	44	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-3	13	13.7	15.2	-1.59	16.0	14.9	1.06
Jae Crowder	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.25	-3	10	-13	15.4	13.4	1.97	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Landry Shamet	38	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	2	3	12.6	15.8	-3.21	15.4	15.4	-0.08
JaVale McGee	26	25	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.06	3	4	-1	13.1	15.0	-1.93	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Cameron Payne	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	4	-1	13.4	15.0	-1.60	14.2	15.9	-1.71
Abdel Nader	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	7	-7	12.8	14.7	-1.92	14.6	15.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,1	92.2%
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	92.2%
BOS 89, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.93,1	92.0%