NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	113		Excitement	7.2 [407]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +25.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	118		Comeback	3.3 [539]		LVP	Dalano Banton (TOR): -4.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.11,0.11	-0.01	0.11	-0.02	13	62%	0.28	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	16	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
OG Anunoby	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.19	-0.07	0.06	19	66%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	15	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Khem Birch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	14	53%	0.09	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Dalano Banton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.08	0.01	18	76%	0.31	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.08	0.01	7	107%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	21	56%	0.15	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Norman Powell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	9	46%	0.12	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.05
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	27.2	14.4	26.6	2.4	31.6	126.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +55.1%

POR +0.8%

TOR -4.3%

POR +0.2%

TOR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	14.5	121.5	125.5	110.8
season	14.9	14.6		111.3	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.8		115.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.5	16.0	16.8	12.0	14.9
POR	17.4	16.0	13.2	17.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	77	78	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.35	9	-14	23	14.4	17.1	-2.66	16.0	15.6	0.45
Dalano Banton	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	2	-9	17.8	14.3	3.51	16.6	15.8	0.79
Fred VanVleet	77	78	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.37	6	-11	17	14.0	18.8	-4.77	16.4	13.4	3.01
Pascal Siakam	77	77	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-10	15	14.5	16.4	-1.91	16.4	13.7	2.72
Malachi Flynn	5	6	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	2	-9	22.4	14.4	7.97	10.0	16.3	-6.34
Khem Birch	40	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	5	-15	16.8	13.4	3.45	14.2	17.3	-3.07
Svi Mykhailiuk	16	16	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	9	-23	17.1	14.4	2.66	15.6	16.0	-0.45
OG Anunoby	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-5	5	14.6	16.2	-1.59	16.0	15.5	0.48
Scottie Barnes	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	2	-9	14.2	18.6	-4.45	16.1	15.1	1.03

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	78	77	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.44	7	-2	9	16.4	13.8	2.56	14.5	16.7	-2.28
Larry Nance Jr.	46	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-1	7	16.2	15.7	0.55	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Tony Snell	20	20	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-6	17	15.6	16.0	-0.36	17.4	14.2	3.30
Nassir Little	49	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	0	5	16.0	15.8	0.22	14.4	15.3	-0.87
CJ McCollum	79	78	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.39	-2	7	-9	16.0	15.8	0.16	14.5	16.8	-2.31
Norman Powell	64	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	8	-11	16.3	15.1	1.23	14.0	16.6	-2.57
Jusuf Nurkic	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	1	3	15.9	15.9	-0.03	14.9	14.9	0.00
Robert Covington	45	47	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.14	-3	8	-11	15.4	16.4	-1.03	15.3	14.4	0.88
Anfernee Simons	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	0	5	14.8	16.5	-1.73	16.8	13.9	2.87
Cody Zeller	22	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	10	-15	15.4	16.1	-0.75	15.8	14.6	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.89,0.83,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 88, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	93.5%
IND 90, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%
BOS 104, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.94,1,1	92.7%