NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	6.3 [556]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +15.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	2.7 [951]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -8.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.01	-0.01	19	62%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jared Sullinger	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	15	47%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Phil Pressey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	16	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	15	43%	-0.08	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.06	-0.06	14	53%	0.13	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	15	58%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	12	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	48%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	15	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	27.2	14.8	25.3	1.8	32.4	125.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +9.3%

POR +12.8%

POR +31.8%

BOS -5.0%

POR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.1	114.3	121.7	105.2
season	15.4	15.1		101.2	109.6
opponent	14.8	15.0		106.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	14.4	15.9	19.2	15.8
POR	17.3	16.9	13.6	15.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-10	12	16.7	15.5	1.16	17.4	15.2	2.26
Brandon Bass	49	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-6	4	14.5	17.3	-2.86	16.6	14.7	1.90
Kelly Olynyk	23	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-7	6	17.6	15.2	2.37	17.0	15.2	1.86
Jerryd Bayless	38	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.9	15.0	1.85	16.9	14.8	2.06
Gerald Wallace	26	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-2	-4	17.6	15.1	2.50	17.0	15.1	1.86
Avery Bradley	67	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-5	2	15.2	17.4	-2.15	14.9	18.0	-3.08
Kris Humphries	58	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-4	0	15.4	16.4	-0.95	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Jeff Green	65	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-6	4	15.1	17.6	-2.50	15.1	17.0	-1.86
Jared Sullinger	52	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	1	-10	16.6	14.7	1.97	14.8	16.9	-2.11
Jordan Crawford	57	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	2	-12	15.4	16.4	-0.99	15.2	16.5	-1.29

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	72	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-4	16	15.5	16.3	-0.79	15.4	17.3	-1.86
Wesley Matthews	65	66	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	15.6	15.9	-0.34	16.1	14.9	1.26
Damian Lillard	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	0	8	15.4	16.5	-1.08	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Robin Lopez	65	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	2	4	15.5	16.0	-0.50	15.3	17.1	-1.83
Nicolas Batum	74	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	4	0	15.0	18.6	-3.57	15.2	18.2	-3.03
Mo Williams	45	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	4	0	17.0	14.4	2.53	16.3	15.4	0.92
Joel Freeland	27	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	6	-4	16.0	15.5	0.50	17.1	15.3	1.83
CJ McCollum	26	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	8	-8	16.5	15.4	1.08	16.2	15.6	0.62
Thomas Robinson	20	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	12	-16	16.3	15.5	0.79	17.3	15.4	1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 97, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
BOS 87, CHH 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
BKN 89, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%