NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	5.6 [659]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +6.0%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	2.0 [359]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -14.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	69%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	14	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Austin Croshere	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Reggie Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	17	40%	-0.10	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.05	0.04	11	65%	0.11	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	13	59%	0.07	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.04	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.05	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	28.1	16.5	26.4	2.3	44.6	142.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.5%

TOR +6.3%

TOR +4.4%

IND -12.9%

TOR +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.5	94.7	105.2	101.6
season	15.4	16.2		102.2	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	17.5	17.0	12.8	14.9
TOR	16.5	16.0	15.8	12.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	33	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-13	14	14.8	14.9	-0.05	15.2	15.1	0.02
Jeff Foster	23	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-9	6	15.7	14.6	1.17	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Austin Croshere	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-14	16	17.4	13.9	3.51	17.9	14.2	3.63
Al Harrington	57	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-3	-6	15.5	13.9	1.60	15.3	14.9	0.46
Ron Mercer	55	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-7	2	14.6	15.1	-0.51	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Reggie Miller	66	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-3	-6	13.9	16.9	-2.99	14.4	17.0	-2.61
Brad Miller	68	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	2	-16	13.9	17.2	-3.31	14.4	17.2	-2.72
Jermaine O'Neal	74	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	-1	-10	15.0	14.2	0.79	15.7	12.8	2.89
Jamaal Tinsley	74	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	14.9	14.7	0.18	15.2	15.0	0.12

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	84	83	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-4	20	15.5	12.8	2.65	15.3	12.1	3.17
Morris Peterson	67	68	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.08	17	-5	22	15.6	14.2	1.37	16.0	11.9	4.19
Michael Bradley	26	28	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	4	4	15.9	14.9	1.06	17.6	13.7	3.96
Rafer Alston	25	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	4	4	17.8	14.2	3.52	17.8	13.7	4.09
Voshon Lenard	61	61	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	8	-4	15.5	14.6	0.94	14.9	14.8	0.09
Alvin Williams	72	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	8	-4	14.2	17.8	-3.52	13.7	17.8	-4.09
Jerome Williams	79	74	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	10	-8	14.7	16.9	-2.21	13.6	19.1	-5.45
Vince Carter	66	61	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	9	-6	14.4	16.7	-2.35	13.5	17.3	-3.80
Zendon Hamilton	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	7.3	15.4	-8.06	3.7	15.2	-11.55
Jelani McCoy	2	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	15	-18	18.0	15.1	2.92	20.5	14.7	5.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 93, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
HOU 80, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
ORL 97, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%