NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	117		Excitement	11.3 [32]		MVP	Malik Monk (LAL): +49.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	120		Comeback	15.1 [73]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (MIA): -11.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Tucker	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19	0.01	0.18	-0.01	7	62%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Omer Yurtseven	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	64%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Udonis Haslem	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Herro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.01	0.08	-0.10	-0.00	22	61%	0.10	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.03
Caleb Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11	0.02	-0.15	-0.02	20	55%	0.23	4	-0.34	11	91%	0.01
Duncan Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	16	34%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Kyle Lowry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	14	51%	0.05	4	-0.17	7	86%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.19	0.29	-0.01	13	90%	0.57	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.04
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.01	6	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	12	71%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.14	0.01	22	54%	0.33	8	-0.27	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	23	48%	0.08	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	12	46%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.5	3.3	28.5	14.7	28.2	3.4	37.4	2.5	18.0	164.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +100.0%

MIA -31.0%

MIA -3.8%

MIA -10.4%

MIA -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAL	NBA	MIA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.4	14.5	104.5	107.1	110.8
season	14.9	14.3		112.0	109.5
opponent	14.2	14.9		112.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	13.8	13.6	14.3	14.0	14.8	14.0
LAL	12.3	15.7	17.0	13.7	12.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Yurtseven	10	11	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.10	8	-11	19	10.9	14.3	-3.40	13.5	14.5	-1.04
Jimmy Butler	28	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	13.8	14.1	-0.24	12.3	15.0	-2.71
Udonis Haslem	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	2	-7	17.1	13.7	3.38	16.2	14.2	1.99
Gabe Vincent	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-4	5	12.8	14.4	-1.62	15.0	14.2	0.82
Bam Adebayo	69	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-6	9	13.9	14.1	-0.19	15.3	12.8	2.47
P.J. Tucker	81	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-7	11	13.8	14.5	-0.62	14.7	13.6	1.03
Duncan Robinson	97	95	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-3	3	14.1	13.6	0.46	14.4	14.4	0.05
Caleb Martin	31	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	4	-11	14.5	13.8	0.62	13.6	14.7	-1.03
Dewayne Dedmon	23	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	5	-13	14.5	13.9	0.66	11.0	15.2	-4.18
Kyle Lowry	95	98	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-3	3	13.9	14.8	-0.97	15.0	10.4	4.61
Tyler Herro	89	87	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	5	-13	14.5	12.1	2.35	14.2	15.1	-0.94

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	81	81	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.58	13	-10	23	13.4	16.9	-3.43	14.1	13.7	0.45
Malik Monk	74	74	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.54	12	-9	21	13.6	16.0	-2.43	14.1	13.8	0.28
Russell Westbrook	90	91	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.44	10	-7	17	14.5	14.0	0.55	14.1	13.7	0.35
Avery Bradley	81	80	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	3	-3	14.4	14.4	0.05	14.5	12.8	1.66
Dwight Howard	24	24	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-2	7	14.9	14.2	0.67	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Anthony Davis	93	93	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.31	-4	7	-11	14.5	13.9	0.60	14.0	14.1	-0.06
DeAndre Jordan	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	3	-3	16.2	13.9	2.28	14.0	14.0	0.05
Kent Bazemore	46	44	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.26	-6	9	-15	16.0	13.3	2.69	13.9	14.1	-0.22
Wayne Ellington	49	50	-0.50	1.00	-1.51	-0.06	-15	18	-33	14.2	14.5	-0.30	12.9	14.9	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.35,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.37,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.35,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.86,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, CHH 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.34,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.89,1,1	91.2%
NYK 81, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.36,0.72,0.77,0.92,1	91.1%
BOS 118, ORL 124	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.95,0.98,1	89.9%