NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	8.0 [275]		MVP	Robert Covington (POR): +54.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	110		Comeback	14.8 [145]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -28.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3	0.08	0.20	-0.01	10	67%	0.37	1	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Torrey Craig	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	7	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelan Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0	0.10	-0.09	0.01	13	73%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	21	29%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	12	54%	0.12	6	-0.36	4	25%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.36,0.54	0.54	0.12	0.39	-0.04	12	79%	0.58	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.06	0.00	14	74%	0.27	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.14,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.10	0.01	10	80%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	8	56%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.04	-0.01	19	71%	0.21	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	78%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.17	-0.12	-0.01	13	15%	-0.18	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	26.4	15.4	25.5	2.4	28.2	124.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.8%

POR +17.3%

IND -2.6%

POR +2.6%

POR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	14.5	14.5	110.4	113.4	110.8
season	14.4	14.6		111.4	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		115.6	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.3	15.5	14.5	16.0	15.3
POR	13.5	14.5	14.9	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelan Martin	24	25	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.17	5	-9	14	14.1	15.7	-1.63	15.4	14.2	1.15
Chris Duarte	54	53	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.26	-1	-3	2	15.8	14.6	1.21	13.6	15.7	-2.04
Torrey Craig	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-8	12	15.1	15.4	-0.28	16.0	13.8	2.25
Goga Bitadze	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-5	6	14.0	15.4	-1.44	11.6	14.9	-3.30
Brad Wanamaker	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	0	-4	15.5	15.2	0.25	16.5	13.6	2.96
Myles Turner	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	4	-12	15.2	15.6	-0.40	14.4	14.8	-0.41
T.J. McConnell	68	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	1	-6	15.6	14.6	1.03	13.9	16.0	-2.12
Caris LeVert	66	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	1	-6	15.5	14.8	0.78	14.2	15.4	-1.14
Justin Holiday	61	61	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.64	-2	-2	0	14.7	16.4	-1.73	15.0	13.7	1.35
Domantas Sabonis	71	73	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.70	-5	1	-6	15.6	14.4	1.27	14.4	15.1	-0.77

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	68	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-2	8	14.1	15.7	-1.58	15.4	14.9	0.52
Jusuf Nurkic	47	49	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-1	6	13.5	15.6	-2.09	15.6	15.0	0.59
CJ McCollum	82	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-3	10	14.7	13.5	1.20	15.4	14.8	0.60
Norman Powell	68	67	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	3	-2	13.8	16.3	-2.52	15.4	15.1	0.33
Damian Lillard	79	76	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.39	-4	8	-12	14.1	16.4	-2.33	15.1	16.0	-0.88
Tony Snell	13	13	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-5	14	15.2	14.5	0.70	17.6	14.9	2.68
Nassir Little	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	1	2	16.3	13.8	2.52	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Larry Nance Jr.	35	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	1	2	15.4	14.1	1.29	15.5	15.2	0.30
Anfernee Simons	42	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	5	-6	15.1	14.1	0.97	15.3	15.3	-0.06
Cody Zeller	22	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	13	-22	16.5	14.0	2.47	12.9	16.0	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.24,0.09,0.15,0.54,0.68,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	90.5%
PHX 109, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.65,0.83,1	90.3%
LAC 91, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.35,0.22,0.32,0.45,0.85,0.72,1	90.1%