NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	8.3 [190]		MVP	Loy Vaught (LAC): +17.2%
Golden State Warriors	97		Comeback	3.5 [397]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -38.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loy Vaught	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.10	-0.00	15	67%	0.31	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.01	13	56%	0.19	2	-0.10	6	67%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	74%	0.05	0	0.00	9	100%	0.08
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Terry Dehere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	6	47%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Duckworth	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	3	67%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.17	-0.21	-0.00	11	28%	-0.22	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	5	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.13,0.16,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	0.01	10	58%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.05,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	19	57%	0.19	4	-0.13	9	67%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	19	51%	0.02	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	0.00	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	70%	0.05	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Todd Fuller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	27.2	16.4	24.4	1.7	40.6	135.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +4.5%

GSW +11.3%

LAC -8.5%

GSW +42.9%

LAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	18.5	14.6	15.6	104.6	111.5	104.4
season	15.8	15.0		102.9	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		109.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.9	16.4	18.6	20.0	18.5
GSW	11.9	17.9	14.8	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	34	33	0.34	-0.83	1.17	-0.10	15	-21	36	16.6	19.7	-3.09	15.4	14.2	1.18
Lorenzen Wright	39	39	-0.03	-0.46	0.43	0.18	-7	1	-8	18.5	18.5	0.03	15.3	14.1	1.27
Kevin Duckworth	12	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-3	0	19.7	18.3	1.39	11.8	15.1	-3.28
Darrick Martin	51	51	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.18	-11	5	-16	18.7	18.1	0.66	13.5	16.2	-2.62
Brent Barry	14	14	-0.16	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-3	0	16.4	18.9	-2.43	16.4	14.3	2.14
Malik Sealy	72	73	-0.31	-0.18	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-5	4	19.0	15.7	3.31	14.3	16.4	-2.14
Rodney Rogers	59	60	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	0	-6	19.5	16.4	3.06	14.2	15.5	-1.23
Bo Outlaw	44	44	-0.41	-0.08	-0.34	-0.44	1	-7	8	18.5	18.4	0.10	16.2	13.0	3.18
Terry Dehere	39	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.52	2	-8	10	17.6	19.2	-1.64	15.4	14.0	1.40
Loy Vaught	71	70	-0.86	0.37	-1.23	-0.36	-17	11	-28	18.4	18.6	-0.19	14.1	16.8	-2.65

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	62	61	0.81	-0.32	1.13	0.40	14	-8	22	13.2	18.2	-5.06	18.7	18.0	0.73
Mark Price	62	62	0.67	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-2	10	13.8	16.7	-2.93	19.0	17.1	1.95
Latrell Sprewell	82	83	0.50	-0.01	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.6	15.0	-0.39	18.5	17.2	1.28
Joe Smith	80	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	2	2	14.2	19.1	-4.91	18.8	14.9	3.93
Todd Fuller	33	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.04	10	-4	14	13.3	15.4	-2.14	20.1	17.4	2.75
Ray Owes	31	31	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.36	-7	13	-20	16.6	13.5	3.08	18.0	18.7	-0.73
Andrew DeClercq	28	27	0.03	0.46	-0.43	-0.03	2	4	-2	16.0	14.0	2.07	16.9	19.2	-2.24
B.J. Armstrong	25	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.16	0	6	-6	16.7	13.8	2.93	17.1	19.0	-1.95
Bimbo Coles	32	32	-0.23	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	13	-20	16.7	13.4	3.30	17.1	19.3	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.35,0.22,0.32,0.45,0.85,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	91.8%
LAC 88, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.76,0.95,1	90.5%
CHA 93, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.85,1	89.8%