NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	106		Excitement	8.2 [254]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +33.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	108		Comeback	5.8 [228]		LVP	Monte Morris (DEN): -9.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.34	0.18	0.15	-0.01	20	68%	0.39	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.07
Aaron Gordon	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.02	21	62%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Dozier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.08	-0.02	12	48%	-0.05	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Monte Morris	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	12	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.05	0.24	0.01	14	55%	0.32	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.14	-0.01	14	69%	0.41	3	-0.18	4	75%	0.05
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	4	87%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	-0.00	-0.01	11	73%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.01	5	67%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	69%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	16	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	7	29%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.0	27.1	14.6	25.3	2.5	34.2	130.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +77.5%

DEN -5.6%

DEN -6.0%

DEN -15.1%

DEN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MEM	NBA	DEN	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	14.5	109.3	113.7	110.8
season	14.8	14.1		113.4	112.9
opponent	14.3	14.4		107.8	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.1	14.7	14.4	19.3	15.7
MEM	13.7	15.3	12.7	15.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	16	15	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-13	24	16.0	15.7	0.32	16.5	13.8	2.63
Aaron Gordon	62	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-7	12	15.2	16.7	-1.45	14.0	14.6	-0.61
Bones Hyland	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-3	4	16.0	15.5	0.55	15.0	13.7	1.38
Michael Porter Jr.	71	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-9	16	16.3	14.2	2.16	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Nikola Jokic	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	1	-4	15.7	15.9	-0.25	13.9	15.2	-1.33
Monte Morris	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-1	0	15.5	16.0	-0.46	13.6	15.3	-1.70
Facundo Campazzo	28	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	6	-14	16.3	15.5	0.83	15.2	13.9	1.35
P.J. Dozier	39	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	9	-20	14.7	16.4	-1.65	14.3	14.2	0.06
Will Barton	81	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.47	2	-4	6	15.9	15.1	0.73	14.3	13.9	0.45
Jeff Green	18	19	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	11	-24	15.8	15.7	0.12	13.7	14.4	-0.64

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Bane	54	55	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.65	5	-3	8	14.6	13.9	0.70	17.9	12.9	4.99
Jaren Jackson Jr.	59	58	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.61	-1	3	-4	14.0	14.6	-0.58	16.8	14.1	2.73
De'Anthony Melton	58	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	-2	6	13.5	15.5	-1.98	15.7	15.7	0.00
Ja Morant	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.16	5	-3	8	14.1	14.6	-0.50	15.6	16.0	-0.39
John Konchar	26	27	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	0	2	14.7	14.1	0.61	16.4	15.5	0.99
Steven Adams	62	62	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	-7	16	13.7	15.2	-1.47	15.9	15.4	0.47
Ziaire Williams	51	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-3	8	14.1	14.4	-0.29	14.2	17.4	-3.16
Tyus Jones	39	40	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	9	-16	15.4	13.5	1.88	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Xavier Tillman	12	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	8	-14	16.0	14.0	2.00	16.3	15.6	0.66
Kyle Anderson	47	52	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	8	-14	14.6	14.0	0.59	13.3	18.5	-5.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.18,0.3,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.37,0.43,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, NOP 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.55,0.66,0.84,1	88.1%
POR 71, IND 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.62,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.99,1	87.6%
LAC 112, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.81,0.66,0.43,0.72,1	87.5%