NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	8.0 [248]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): +19.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	110		Comeback	1.9 [588]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (PHX): -21.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.01	13	55%	0.21	2	-0.04	12	75%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Miles Plumlee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	5	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Markieff Morris	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.07	0.03	14	45%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.1,-0.06	0.09	-0.13	0.02	17	61%	0.07	1	-0.14	2	50%	-0.04
Isaiah Thomas	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	10	25%	-0.14	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	-0.00	10	86%	0.26	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.00	13	75%	0.34	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.12	0.00	20	48%	0.16	2	-0.05	10	70%	0.04
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	15	54%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Omer Asik	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	61%	0.05	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.06
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	30.2	15.0	22.2	2.4	36.5	132.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +33.6%

PHX -0.7%

NOP +21.0%

PHX -11.1%

NOP +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOP	NBA	PHX	NOP	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.1	115.2	119.6	104.2
season	14.4	15.8		103.7	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.0		106.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.8	15.2	16.8	13.7	15.1
NOP	14.6	16.8	18.4	15.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	37	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-7	10	15.9	14.5	1.36	16.6	16.0	0.67
Marcus Morris	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-3	2	16.5	14.1	2.44	16.7	15.9	0.76
Eric Bledsoe	71	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-5	6	14.3	17.6	-3.32	16.5	15.2	1.34
Isaiah Thomas	47	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-7	10	14.5	15.6	-1.11	16.6	15.8	0.79
Gerald Green	46	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-4	4	16.1	14.0	2.15	16.2	16.3	-0.04
Markieff Morris	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-1	-2	14.2	16.3	-2.03	16.3	16.2	0.14
Miles Plumlee	35	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	4	-12	16.1	14.4	1.76	16.0	16.4	-0.40
Goran Dragic	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	14.6	16.5	-1.84	15.7	18.4	-2.75
PJ Tucker	61	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	8	-20	14.8	15.6	-0.84	15.9	16.9	-1.03

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	37	39	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-10	24	16.2	16.3	-0.15	16.4	14.1	2.26
Anthony Davis	82	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-1	6	15.9	18.9	-2.97	15.0	15.1	-0.04
Tyreke Evans	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-4	12	15.7	17.9	-2.18	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Dante Cunningham	47	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	5	-6	15.6	16.9	-1.34	15.0	15.1	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	0	4	16.1	16.6	-0.44	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Luke Babbitt	22	22	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	-8	20	16.0	16.3	-0.33	15.2	15.0	0.17
Ryan Anderson	51	53	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	5	-6	16.4	16.0	0.36	15.1	15.0	0.05
Omer Asik	47	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	0	4	17.1	15.4	1.71	15.4	14.7	0.63
Austin Rivers	41	40	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.45	-25	29	-54	17.8	15.0	2.80	14.8	15.3	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.55,0.66,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, NOH 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.84,1	92.1%
LAC 91, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.74,1	91.6%
MIL 99, CHA 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.65,0.61,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.74,1	91.1%