NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	87		Excitement	8.6 [163]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +22.1%
New Orleans Hornets	90		Comeback	1.6 [879]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -18.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.00	11	70%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.00	11	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Will Bynum	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	0.00	24	46%	-0.11	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.34,0.19	0.19	-0.01	0.19	-0.01	17	49%	0.25	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.20
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	-0.00	13	65%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	23	51%	0.02	1	-0.02	13	77%	0.02
Julian Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	9	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.16
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	10	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	24.3	16.5	25.3	2.7	36.1	131.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -19.8%

NOH +21.9%

NOH +50.2%

DET -1.0%

DET -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NOH	NBA	DET	NOH	NBA
this game	18.0	16.5	15.5	103.6	108.4	106.4
season	16.9	16.6		104.9	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		106.0	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.4	17.0	17.5	19.4	18.0
NOH	16.6	15.7	14.6	19.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Herrmann	28	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-8	13	16.9	18.6	-1.75	17.0	16.2	0.72
Allen Iverson	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	6	-15	19.3	17.8	1.51	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Will Bynum	30	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-5	7	16.8	18.7	-1.90	15.6	16.9	-1.34
Richard Hamilton	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.48	7	-10	17	18.0	18.2	-0.28	16.3	16.9	-0.53
Jason Maxiell	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-8	13	18.4	17.4	1.04	17.2	15.4	1.82
Rodney Stuckey	54	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	2	-7	18.7	16.8	1.90	16.9	15.6	1.34
Antonio McDyess	66	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-3	3	18.2	17.5	0.67	16.2	17.4	-1.13
Rasheed Wallace	50	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	8	-19	17.7	18.6	-0.90	16.0	17.1	-1.05
Tayshaun Prince	64	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	6	-15	18.1	17.7	0.43	16.5	16.2	0.32

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	71	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.35	10	-7	17	16.5	16.3	0.15	18.1	17.3	0.81
David West	75	76	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	16.3	18.1	-1.84	18.0	18.0	0.03
Tyson Chandler	64	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-6	15	15.6	19.3	-3.64	18.5	16.4	2.07
Rasual Butler	56	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-11	25	15.8	17.8	-2.01	17.8	18.5	-0.73
Peja Stojakovic	64	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	1	1	15.9	18.3	-2.34	18.2	17.5	0.69
James Posey	46	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.51	-10	13	-23	18.0	14.5	3.46	18.1	17.9	0.14
Sean Marks	19	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	9	-15	19.3	15.6	3.64	16.4	18.5	-2.07
Julian Wright	8	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	10	-17	18.1	16.3	1.84	18.0	18.0	-0.03
Antonio Daniels	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	10	-17	16.3	16.5	-0.15	17.3	18.1	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, NOP 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.55,0.66,0.84,1	92.1%
CHI 82, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.84,1	91.8%
HOU 110, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.76,0.85,0.57,0.85,1	91.8%