NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	7.6 [336]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): +15.8%
Toronto Raptors	110		Comeback	2.0 [900]		LVP	OG Anunoby (TOR): -10.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	60%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Franz Wagner	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06	-0.05	0.08	-0.02	12	40%	0.09	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.03	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	12	68%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.05	14	64%	0.09	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
R.J. Hampton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	14	47%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Cole Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.26,-0.07	0.16	-0.21	0.01	13	75%	0.01	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.11	0.01	16	54%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	13	66%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	14	70%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	5	64%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	19	42%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	28.6	15.2	25.4	1.8	39.0	136.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.8%

TOR +0.3%

ORL -12.3%

TOR +25.3%

TOR +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	14.1	14.5	114.7	117.0	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		103.4	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.4		109.9	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.1	16.5	14.7	17.2	16.3
TOR	17.1	13.5	13.5	12.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Anthony	68	69	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.51	16	-17	33	15.1	19.5	-4.41	14.7	12.6	2.04
Moritz Wagner	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	2	-5	18.4	15.9	2.54	12.9	14.4	-1.53
Wendell Carter Jr.	66	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.52	12	-13	25	15.2	18.8	-3.55	14.0	14.4	-0.34
Robin Lopez	14	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	9	-19	18.3	16.0	2.30	16.2	13.8	2.33
R.J. Hampton	12	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	8	-17	17.2	16.2	1.06	14.9	14.0	0.85
Jalen Suggs	62	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.39	5	-6	11	15.9	17.2	-1.26	13.6	15.2	-1.61
Mo Bamba	80	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.57	10	-11	21	16.0	18.0	-1.99	14.4	12.7	1.75
Terrence Ross	40	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	12	-25	18.5	14.7	3.84	13.9	14.3	-0.32
Franz Wagner	68	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-2	3	15.5	18.4	-2.86	14.0	14.6	-0.61
Gary Harris	48	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.11	-14	13	-27	18.4	14.2	4.27	13.9	14.4	-0.45

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khem Birch	42	42	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.13	15	-14	29	13.9	14.3	-0.38	19.0	14.2	4.79
OG Anunoby	80	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-2	5	14.1	14.2	-0.09	16.3	16.7	-0.46
Fred VanVleet	76	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	1	-1	14.1	14.3	-0.24	16.4	16.0	0.40
Chris Boucher	32	34	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-17	35	13.2	14.6	-1.35	18.4	15.2	3.25
Dalano Banton	44	45	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	-3	7	14.4	13.9	0.51	16.2	16.5	-0.28
Scottie Barnes	73	74	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.51	-13	14	-27	14.5	13.0	1.47	15.7	18.5	-2.82
Gary Trent Jr.	65	65	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.38	-11	12	-23	14.4	13.6	0.80	15.3	18.5	-3.23
Svi Mykhailiuk	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	5	-9	13.1	14.3	-1.17	15.0	16.5	-1.54
Precious Achiuwa	44	44	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	8	-15	14.2	14.1	0.17	15.2	17.3	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.58,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.92,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 106, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
UTA 90, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,1,1,1	93.4%
UTA 113, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.2%