NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	5.8 [679]		MVP	Kemba Walker (NYK): +20.5%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	1.4 [618]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): -25.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2	0.16	0.04	0.00	12	78%	0.22	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
RJ Barrett	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	15	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Evan Fournier	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.04	0.04	-0.08	14	36%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	10	57%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	4	90%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	11	41%	-0.12	4	-0.09	10	70%	-0.16

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	17	58%	0.18	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.01	0.06	13	73%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alize Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.26	-0.26	0.00	-0.22	0.04	18	49%	-0.21	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.4	26.4	14.7	35.2	2.4	38.2	139.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +59.6%

CHI -11.0%

NYK +8.0%

CHI -12.2%

NYK +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	14.5	109.5	108.4	110.8
season	15.1	14.5		109.4	110.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		112.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.1	14.2	12.4	19.4	15.4
CHI	14.5	16.4	16.6	12.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Barrett	67	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	-2	5	15.5	15.2	0.25	14.5	15.8	-1.25
Mitchell Robinson	56	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.53	-4	5	-9	17.0	13.0	4.01	13.9	16.4	-2.47
Evan Fournier	66	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	3	-5	15.6	14.8	0.81	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Derrick Rose	36	37	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	0	1	14.9	15.7	-0.72	16.1	14.2	1.85
Julius Randle	70	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.44	-4	5	-9	15.3	15.7	-0.39	14.2	17.2	-3.05
Taj Gibson	39	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-4	9	13.0	17.0	-4.01	16.7	13.7	2.97
Kemba Walker	58	58	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	-1	3	15.8	14.7	1.17	14.2	16.1	-1.85
Obi Toppin	25	24	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-4	9	15.7	15.3	0.39	17.2	14.2	3.05
Immanuel Quickley	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	-2	5	15.3	15.4	-0.13	15.8	14.6	1.13
Alec Burks	34	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	5	-9	14.5	15.9	-1.34	15.6	14.5	1.10

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Brown Jr.	34	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-3	5	16.2	14.2	1.95	14.3	16.0	-1.67
Tony Bradley	12	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-2	3	17.4	14.6	2.85	13.1	15.7	-2.60
Patrick Williams	33	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-3	5	15.5	14.6	0.90	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Ayo Dosunmu	18	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-1	1	17.2	14.4	2.83	13.8	15.8	-1.92
Javonte Green	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	9	-19	14.3	15.2	-0.94	16.8	14.8	2.02
Alize Johnson	7	7	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	11	-23	18.6	14.6	3.94	13.7	15.5	-1.81
Alex Caruso	64	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-8	15	14.5	15.9	-1.45	15.8	14.5	1.34
Zach LaVine	69	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-7	13	14.5	16.2	-1.69	15.6	14.8	0.80
Nikola Vucevic	72	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.59	8	-9	17	14.2	17.3	-3.08	15.6	14.7	0.92
Lonzo Ball	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	0	-1	14.8	15.3	-0.51	15.5	15.0	0.50
DeMar DeRozan	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	7	-15	14.7	15.5	-0.75	15.4	15.3	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 78, TOR 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0,0,0	95.4%
IND 88, PHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
CHH 102, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%