NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	7.3 [393]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +25.8%
Dallas Mavericks	116		Comeback	1.9 [1101]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -17.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.18	0.07	-0.01	11	79%	0.26	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Danuel House Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	87%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alperen Sengun	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	42%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	10	54%	0.03	6	-0.18	4	75%	-0.02
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.04	0.02	9	33%	-0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	16	44%	-0.06	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Jalen Green	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	16	31%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.07	-0.00	11	73%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	5	92%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	12	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	25	47%	0.08	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	0.7	26.4	14.5	32.3	1.8	28.0	131.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +18.6%

DAL +0.7%

DAL +7.7%

DAL +18.1%

DAL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	13.0	14.3	14.5	100.0	110.5	110.8
season	14.4	15.6		107.5	112.4
opponent	14.5	13.9		109.2	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.5	13.2	11.3	13.3	13.0
DAL	14.9	11.7	13.9	17.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	64	62	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.19	13	-23	36	11.8	15.0	-3.19	14.2	14.4	-0.24
David Nwaba	32	32	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-14	18	12.2	13.4	-1.16	13.3	14.7	-1.39
D.J. Augustin	27	26	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-16	22	12.8	13.1	-0.34	13.3	14.6	-1.29
Danuel House Jr.	21	20	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-12	14	14.4	12.7	1.75	12.5	14.7	-2.13
Alperen Sengun	33	33	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-14	18	12.8	13.2	-0.39	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Kenyon Martin Jr.	10	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-13	16	12.9	13.0	-0.14	16.2	14.1	2.13
Daniel Theis	64	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	2	-14	13.6	12.2	1.43	14.2	14.4	-0.13
Christian Wood	81	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	1	-12	12.7	14.1	-1.38	14.4	13.9	0.52
Jalen Green	79	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.12	-17	7	-24	13.4	12.1	1.28	14.2	14.4	-0.18
Kevin Porter Jr.	65	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.10	-18	8	-26	13.5	12.2	1.28	14.8	13.4	1.33
Jae'Sean Tate	54	56	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.10	-24	14	-38	13.5	12.5	1.00	15.5	12.9	2.55

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-5	20	14.5	13.8	0.71	12.9	13.3	-0.45
Dorian Finney-Smith	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	1	8	15.1	12.9	2.16	13.0	13.1	-0.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.	65	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-2	14	14.2	14.3	-0.12	12.7	13.5	-0.75
Jalen Brunson	60	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	3	4	14.9	13.4	1.53	13.4	12.6	0.78
Dwight Powell	54	56	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	8	-6	15.1	13.4	1.80	12.3	13.9	-1.57
Willie Cauley-Stein	12	11	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	1	8	11.8	14.6	-2.76	14.0	12.9	1.08
Trey Burke	9	8	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	4	2	11.7	14.5	-2.85	13.4	13.0	0.37
Boban Marjanovic	17	18	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	9	-8	15.1	14.1	1.00	16.3	12.4	3.91
Maxi Kleber	39	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	7	-4	12.8	15.2	-2.36	12.9	13.1	-0.17
Sterling Brown	20	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	11	-12	13.8	14.4	-0.59	14.1	12.8	1.38
Reggie Bullock	38	39	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	14	-18	14.6	14.1	0.47	13.2	12.9	0.32
Moses Brown	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	11	-12	14.1	14.3	-0.14	9.9	13.3	-3.40
Josh Green	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	12.6	14.4	-1.88	15.0	12.8	2.15
Kristaps Porzingis	45	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	14	-18	13.5	14.9	-1.42	12.8	13.2	-0.36
Frank Ntilikina	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	14	-18	13.8	14.3	-0.55	9.3	13.4	-4.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.9%
SAS 108, SEA 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,0.98,1	93.6%
ATL 99, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.9,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.84,1	93.5%