NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	121		Excitement	6.7 [501]		MVP	Ja Morant (MEM): +27.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	132		Comeback	1.3 [1082]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -10.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.21	0.03	0.05	11	96%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.01	6	100%	0.23	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	13	59%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Evan Mobley	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	13	59%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	14	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.04	10	57%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Darius Garland	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	15	43%	-0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.26,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.18	0.05	29	62%	0.33	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.09	-0.01	14	71%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	12	46%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	0.05	16	61%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	27.2	14.4	24.8	2.5	32.6	126.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +41.8%

CLE -8.9%

MEM +27.6%

CLE -9.1%

CLE -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	13.5	14.5	117.5	124.5	110.8
season	15.2	14.1		110.6	112.9
opponent	14.3	14.4		107.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	13.4	14.4	15.6	14.1
MEM	13.4	12.8	14.4	13.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	41	43	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.14	8	-19	27	15.0	13.6	1.39	14.4	12.8	1.66
Lauri Markkanen	66	70	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-7	3	13.9	14.5	-0.54	13.7	12.9	0.81
Darius Garland	68	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-11	11	13.9	14.5	-0.56	14.0	12.5	1.48
Jarrett Allen	63	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.30	5	-16	21	13.8	14.7	-0.91	13.4	13.5	-0.08
Kevin Love	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	14.6	13.8	0.73	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Collin Sexton	63	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	3	-17	13.6	15.0	-1.40	13.2	13.9	-0.70
Cedi Osman	39	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	6	-23	14.5	13.9	0.68	12.7	13.9	-1.20
Ricky Rubio	54	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	1	-13	14.5	13.7	0.88	12.5	14.5	-1.92
Evan Mobley	83	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.06	-18	7	-25	14.0	14.5	-0.54	13.7	12.5	1.16

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Clarke	24	25	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.06	15	-4	19	13.2	13.5	-0.37	15.4	13.7	1.75
Tyus Jones	33	31	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.00	17	-6	23	12.9	13.7	-0.83	14.8	13.8	0.94
Jaren Jackson Jr.	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-5	21	13.0	14.4	-1.46	13.7	14.9	-1.17
De'Anthony Melton	71	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-6	23	13.3	13.7	-0.43	13.7	14.9	-1.14
Ziaire Williams	37	37	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-2	15	13.5	13.4	0.01	14.5	13.9	0.62
Steven Adams	69	66	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	10	-9	13.9	12.5	1.40	14.2	13.9	0.35
John Konchar	37	36	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	12	-13	13.9	13.2	0.63	15.3	13.5	1.79
Ja Morant	73	72	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	13.7	12.9	0.83	13.8	14.8	-0.94
Desmond Bane	67	64	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	18	-25	13.4	13.6	-0.22	13.6	14.9	-1.26
Kyle Anderson	49	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	21	-31	13.6	13.3	0.30	13.8	14.4	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.1%
LAL 93, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.1%
IND 97, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,1,0.99,1,1	92.9%