NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	5.3 [744]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +15.3%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.4 [578]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -31.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	18	61%	0.07	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Samaki Walker	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	32	51%	-0.00	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Robert Horry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	11%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	16	62%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	7	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dan Langhi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	48%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	11	55%	-0.02	2	-0.03	9	56%	-0.05
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	17	38%	-0.18	4	-0.13	11	73%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.7	29.2	15.4	26.5	3.3	45.6	145.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.1%

PHX +0.1%

PHX +17.0%

LAL -4.3%

PHX +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	15.5	94.9	111.5	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		105.0	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		100.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	15.1	14.6	12.2	14.2
PHX	15.5	18.5	14.2	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	72	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-17	20	14.4	13.7	0.67	16.5	12.8	3.62
Samaki Walker	35	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-13	12	15.5	13.5	2.03	14.4	16.1	-1.67
Derek Fisher	59	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-15	16	13.8	14.8	-1.02	16.0	14.7	1.33
Slava Medvedenko	4	3	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-11	8	14.7	14.2	0.59	17.3	15.5	1.87
Mark Madsen	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-10	6	12.0	14.7	-2.71	12.0	16.4	-4.39
Kareem Rush	33	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-4	-6	14.7	13.9	0.82	14.2	16.2	-1.96
Robert Horry	41	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-8	2	14.5	14.0	0.52	17.8	13.8	3.94
Rick Fox	63	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-4	-6	13.6	15.2	-1.63	14.2	17.7	-3.50
Kobe Bryant	87	86	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-5	-4	13.8	16.9	-3.07	15.3	17.1	-1.76
Devean George	44	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	14.1	14.3	-0.17	15.3	15.7	-0.46
Brian Shaw	33	33	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.03	-19	5	-24	15.5	13.5	2.05	17.2	14.7	2.48

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	49	52	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-2	18	17.6	13.4	4.19	14.3	14.0	0.26
Joe Johnson	37	40	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.01	21	-7	28	15.6	15.4	0.21	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Shawn Marion	79	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	0	14	14.8	19.0	-4.23	14.4	13.5	0.88
Randy Brown	8	8	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	2	10	19.0	15.2	3.80	16.5	14.0	2.52
Anfernee Hardaway	78	78	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	5	4	14.7	19.1	-4.42	14.0	14.9	-0.96
Casey Jacobsen	22	24	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	11	-8	18.5	14.6	3.86	15.0	13.9	1.03
Stephon Marbury	83	83	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	13	-12	15.4	16.3	-0.91	14.0	15.4	-1.44
Dan Langhi	1	2	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	12	-10	25.0	15.4	9.58	3.5	14.4	-10.91
Jake Voskuhl	18	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	15	-16	14.8	15.7	-0.85	12.8	14.5	-1.73
Amar'e Stoudemire	69	70	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	12	-10	14.5	18.1	-3.66	13.9	14.8	-0.84
Scott Williams	36	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	23	-32	15.8	15.4	0.41	15.6	13.4	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CLE 83, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
PHI 88, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%