NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	134		Excitement	13.7 [7]		MVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): +37.1%
New York Knicks	138		Comeback	3.6 [446]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (BOS): -34.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Smart	0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.26,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	-0.02	0.37	0.00	14	54%	0.46	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.29,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.25	0.24	0.04	0.03	30	68%	0.37	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.03
Robert Williams III	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.08	0.01	5	89%	0.22	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Grant Williams	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	9	83%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Romeo Langford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.03,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.36,-0.15,-0.27	-0.20	-0.12	-0.05	30	31%	-0.20	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.04
Dennis Schroder	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.35	-0.10	-0.24	0.01	16	35%	-0.28	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.12	0.21	-0.04	11	68%	0.37	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.39,0.54,0.46,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.01,0.01,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.18	0.02	25	64%	0.41	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	9	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.01	5	79%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	56%	0.09	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	27	56%	0.25	7	-0.24	8	100%	0.09
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.6	3.5	30.5	14.4	29.4	3.5	39.2	2.6	8.4	2.5	12.4	174.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +74.7%

NYK +5.0%

NYK +8.8%

BOS -21.3%

BOS -17.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	13.6	14.5	108.1	110.4	110.8
season	14.9	15.1		112.2	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		109.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	13.5	14.8	14.6	13.8	15.0	14.2
NYK	15.9	11.9	13.1	13.4	16.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	98	97	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.43	16	-20	36	14.4	14.0	0.41	13.6	13.6	-0.07
Payton Pritchard	24	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-8	12	16.4	13.9	2.49	12.4	13.9	-1.45
Grant Williams	69	70	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	1	-6	13.1	16.0	-2.91	14.0	13.0	1.02
Marcus Smart	97	99	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-5	6	13.8	16.3	-2.47	14.1	11.7	2.40
Jayson Tatum	95	97	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-1	-2	13.7	16.4	-2.72	14.1	11.9	2.24
Aaron Nesmith	25	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	10	-24	14.9	14.2	0.65	11.9	14.0	-2.09
Robert Williams III	94	95	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.75	11	-15	26	14.4	14.2	0.21	14.1	12.1	1.92
Romeo Langford	49	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.17	-14	10	-24	15.3	13.8	1.49	12.7	14.2	-1.49
Dennis Schroder	69	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.12	-16	12	-28	15.6	12.9	2.71	12.7	14.6	-1.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	49	50	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.53	5	-1	6	11.8	14.7	-2.95	15.5	13.6	1.87
RJ Barrett	99	97	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-4	12	14.0	12.0	2.06	14.6	13.5	1.08
Evan Fournier	95	94	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-7	18	14.2	11.8	2.40	13.9	15.8	-1.94
Julius Randle	99	99	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-6	16	14.0	12.2	1.82	13.8	16.5	-2.65
Obi Toppin	60	60	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	0	4	13.4	13.7	-0.31	14.7	14.0	0.75
Mitchell Robinson	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	1	2	14.1	12.8	1.29	15.2	13.2	1.95
Jericho Sims	16	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	11	-18	11.6	13.9	-2.26	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Kemba Walker	67	64	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.15	-1	5	-6	14.5	12.6	1.94	13.4	15.4	-2.01
Immanuel Quickley	20	20	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	12	-20	11.4	14.0	-2.61	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Alec Burks	39	39	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.33	-5	9	-14	11.3	14.6	-3.32	14.5	14.3	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.46,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	87.6%
POR 95, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,0.85,1	87.4%
ORL 122, OKC 132	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	87.3%