NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	5.7 [701]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +28.9%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	2.9 [709]		LVP	Sean Marks (POR): -10.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.01	0.03	13	82%	0.18	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.10	0.04	0.05	10	62%	0.09	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	14	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	17	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.20	0.10	0.02	11	100%	0.35	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	9	80%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	11	61%	0.11	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Von Wafer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	12	35%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	70%	0.10	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	34.5	16.4	32.2	2.8	31.2	142.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +49.2%

POR -2.6%

BOS +10.7%

POR -7.0%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.5	108.0	113.8	105.7
season	16.5	15.7		106.7	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.7		99.6	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.2	17.0	15.1	16.0	16.6
BOS	15.2	15.7	16.9	17.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	38	36	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.12	11	-15	26	16.9	16.4	0.53	17.8	15.3	2.48
Rudy Fernandez	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-11	18	16.7	16.5	0.18	17.5	15.7	1.79
Brandon Roy	67	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-8	12	16.6	16.4	0.21	17.1	14.0	3.12
Andre Miller	66	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-3	2	17.1	15.1	1.94	17.0	14.3	2.68
Patty Mills	17	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-2	0	14.5	17.1	-2.56	14.7	16.7	-2.01
Sean Marks	15	16	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	8	-20	16.4	16.6	-0.23	14.5	16.7	-2.23
Dante Cunningham	26	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	4	-12	16.0	16.9	-0.89	14.2	17.2	-2.92
Wesley Matthews	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	0	-4	16.7	16.3	0.39	16.2	16.8	-0.64
Nicolas Batum	30	29	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	5	-14	16.3	16.7	-0.44	14.3	17.3	-3.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	83	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	2	-8	16.7	15.2	1.47	16.3	17.0	-0.72

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	51	53	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-1	6	16.3	16.4	-0.16	16.5	16.7	-0.20
Rajon Rondo	81	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-3	10	16.2	18.5	-2.34	16.5	17.7	-1.15
Marquis Daniels	42	39	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-7	18	15.8	16.8	-1.04	16.2	16.9	-0.78
Kevin Garnett	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	1	2	15.8	18.1	-2.34	16.3	17.4	-1.03
Paul Pierce	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	-1	6	16.3	16.5	-0.23	16.6	16.6	-0.01
Ray Allen	67	69	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.33	-10	14	-24	16.7	15.1	1.59	16.8	15.7	1.16
Semih Erden	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	3	-2	17.6	16.2	1.38	16.6	16.6	-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	46	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	3	-2	17.0	15.6	1.44	17.0	16.0	0.99
Nate Robinson	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	7	-10	18.5	16.2	2.34	17.7	16.5	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 93, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.2%
CHH 88, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
SEA 106, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.78,0.85,1	92.9%