NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	5.5 [637]		MVP	Reggie Bullock (NYK): +17.9%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.1 [1033]		LVP	Luke Kornet (BOS): -18.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.05	10	69%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Grant Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	76%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tacko Fall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Semi Ojeleye	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Romeo Langford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Tremont Waters	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	13	65%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carsen Edwards	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	13	38%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	7	29%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	9	89%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	12	69%	0.16	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.02	10	85%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	17	45%	0.07	4	-0.09	10	80%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	9	37%	-0.01	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.8	27.5	15.4	25.5	3.4	30.4	130.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +53.6%

NYK +4.8%

BOS -3.2%

BOS -6.4%

NYK +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	14.4	98.9	103.2	111.3
season	14.5	15.2		112.8	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		107.4	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.0	16.6	12.9	13.9	14.8
NYK	15.3	14.7	17.1	17.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremont Waters	48	49	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.58	20	-24	44	14.3	15.4	-1.04	16.5	15.7	0.80
Luke Kornet	49	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.42	9	-13	22	13.5	16.2	-2.72	17.5	14.5	2.97
Jabari Parker	51	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.39	8	-12	20	14.7	14.9	-0.16	16.5	15.7	0.80
Tacko Fall	34	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	2	-8	17.1	13.5	3.67	14.6	17.0	-2.37
Aaron Nesmith	39	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	2	-8	15.8	14.1	1.68	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Carsen Edwards	52	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.49	8	-12	20	14.9	14.7	0.15	15.6	16.8	-1.16
Semi Ojeleye	32	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	6	-16	14.1	15.2	-1.10	15.7	16.4	-0.75
Romeo Langford	64	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-3	2	14.5	15.6	-1.07	17.0	14.1	2.87
Grant Williams	51	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	14	-32	14.6	15.0	-0.42	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Payton Pritchard	45	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.19	-24	20	-44	15.4	14.3	1.04	15.7	16.5	-0.80

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	66	66	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-2	8	16.6	15.0	1.57	14.2	16.3	-2.03
Nerlens Noel	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	4	-4	16.4	15.5	0.93	13.4	18.0	-4.62
RJ Barrett	64	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	-1	6	16.5	15.3	1.22	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Julius Randle	74	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	5	-6	16.2	15.8	0.39	14.3	16.8	-2.59
Derrick Rose	44	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	4	-4	16.2	16.1	0.06	15.7	14.0	1.64
Alec Burks	49	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	3	-2	15.2	17.2	-2.04	15.0	14.6	0.35
Obi Toppin	18	19	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	-1	6	16.6	16.0	0.57	17.7	14.1	3.60
Frank Ntilikina	3	2	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	4	-4	6.3	16.5	-10.14	6.5	15.0	-8.50
Elfrid Payton	28	27	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	2	0	16.6	15.9	0.70	14.3	15.0	-0.79
Taj Gibson	28	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	1	2	15.5	16.4	-0.93	18.0	13.4	4.62
Immanuel Quickley	26	25	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.06	-1	5	-6	15.9	16.3	-0.37	16.9	14.0	2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.98,1	93.4%
BKN 113, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.84,1	92.9%
MEM 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.72,0.91,0.96,1	92.8%