NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	5.1 [840]		MVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): +8.5%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	1.2 [1117]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): -14.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	5	91%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.01	0.11	-0.06	0.05	20	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	3	50%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	38%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	9	29%	-0.12	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	19	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	6	87%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	17	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	8	31%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.5	26.9	15.6	24.5	2.6	39.2	135.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +20.6%

CHI +17.3%

CHI +7.2%

CHI +3.5%

CHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.5	95.6	104.4	104.0
season	16.4	15.1		103.7	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		98.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.4	16.1	17.9	16.0	16.3
CHI	14.6	14.5	17.2	16.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	28	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-15	22	17.7	15.7	1.99	16.4	15.4	0.97
Earl Watson	45	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-11	14	16.2	16.4	-0.27	16.4	15.0	1.41
Brian Cardinal	48	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-4	0	16.3	16.3	0.05	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Bonzi Wells	66	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-10	12	16.1	16.8	-0.66	16.3	14.3	1.94
Shane Battier	49	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	17.2	15.2	2.05	15.1	16.5	-1.36
Pau Gasol	29	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	2	-12	15.8	16.6	-0.82	14.9	16.1	-1.18
Jason Williams	47	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	7	-22	16.7	15.8	0.91	14.9	16.6	-1.75
Mike Miller	77	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-3	-2	15.7	20.2	-4.49	16.1	13.1	2.96
Lorenzen Wright	61	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	7	-22	16.0	17.1	-1.12	15.4	16.4	-0.97

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	71	69	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.15	14	-6	20	15.8	15.1	0.74	15.7	18.5	-2.82
Eddy Curry	68	68	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	1	6	15.3	17.0	-1.74	16.7	15.1	1.61
Andres Nocioni	51	50	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	-1	10	15.7	15.6	0.08	15.5	17.3	-1.78
Antonio Davis	35	35	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	-1	10	15.6	15.7	-0.15	16.1	16.5	-0.37
Tyson Chandler	63	62	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	10	-12	16.5	13.9	2.62	16.0	17.0	-0.95
Ben Gordon	61	62	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	9	-10	15.9	15.3	0.51	15.6	17.8	-2.19
Jannero Pargo	23	26	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	7	-6	15.6	15.7	-0.11	18.2	15.5	2.65
Eric Piatkowski	25	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	6	-4	14.9	16.0	-1.06	18.0	15.7	2.27
Luol Deng	21	21	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	3	2	13.8	16.3	-2.51	17.4	16.0	1.40
Othella Harrington	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	8	-8	15.5	15.7	-0.27	17.9	16.0	1.88
Adrian Griffin	19	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	12	-16	16.9	15.4	1.60	16.1	16.4	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.72,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.98,1	94.6%
NYK 85, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.89,0.99,0.98,1	94.4%
DAL 107, DEN 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.78,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.99,1	94.3%