NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	4.9 [811]		MVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): +5.8%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	1.0 [607]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -13.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	12	71%	0.10	2	-0.04	10	50%	-0.06
Chris Childs	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	8	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.06
Othella Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	57%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	12	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	18	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	42%	-0.07	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	56%	0.07	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.05
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.02	-0.05	25	50%	0.05	5	-0.10	14	79%	0.01
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	47%	-0.01	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	30.5	15.6	29.2	3.2	32.7	138.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +11.4%

DET +25.8%

DET +3.9%

DET +8.6%

DET +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	15.2	15.5	91.4	96.8	100.9
season	16.4	14.3		99.2	97.9
opponent	15.4	16.1		99.6	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.0	15.6	16.8	12.5	15.7
DET	12.8	16.5	13.2	18.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	11	10	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-8	11	16.0	15.7	0.30	15.5	15.2	0.30
Kurt Thomas	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-8	11	14.2	17.5	-3.23	16.5	13.7	2.82
Allan Houston	67	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.54	13	-18	31	15.6	16.1	-0.48	15.8	13.8	1.96
Larry Johnson	28	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	0	-5	19.1	14.3	4.88	13.7	16.0	-2.27
Chris Childs	57	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-9	13	14.2	18.1	-3.88	16.2	13.6	2.58
Charlie Ward	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	7	-19	17.7	14.4	3.30	13.0	16.7	-3.71
Glen Rice	68	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-5	5	14.7	18.4	-3.65	16.4	12.2	4.28
Latrell Sprewell	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	2	-9	16.1	13.7	2.46	14.8	17.8	-3.00
Marcus Camby	68	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.07	-24	19	-43	16.2	14.4	1.77	14.1	18.0	-3.95

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	69	70	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-10	25	13.9	19.2	-5.30	16.1	14.7	1.38
Joe Smith	61	60	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-10	25	14.6	16.4	-1.78	16.4	14.4	2.03
Jerry Stackhouse	88	89	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	2	1	14.9	21.2	-6.30	15.8	14.2	1.55
Michael Curry	67	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	3	-1	15.8	13.9	1.88	16.0	15.1	0.84
John Wallace	29	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	6	-7	16.0	14.9	1.06	14.0	16.4	-2.39
Jerome Williams	40	41	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	6	-7	15.5	15.1	0.42	15.1	16.2	-1.09
Ben Wallace	66	68	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	4	-3	16.2	13.0	3.20	16.5	13.6	2.86
Mikki Moore	20	21	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	5	-5	12.9	15.9	-2.98	14.1	16.2	-2.11
Dana Barros	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	5	-5	17.8	14.8	2.94	15.5	15.8	-0.22
Mateen Cleaves	12	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	14	-23	19.2	14.6	4.61	12.6	16.1	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.89,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NYK 90, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 81, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%