NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	6.6 [451]		MVP	Gabriel Deck (OKC): +12.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	1.4 [817]		LVP	Theo Maledon (OKC): -22.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delon Wright	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.1	-0.02	0.11	-0.02	15	43%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin James	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	54%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Terence Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	62%	0.12	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damian Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	51%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jahmi'us Ramsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	15	41%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Guy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	3	-0.20	2	50%	-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gabriel Deck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	7	80%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jaylen Hoard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Moses Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.12,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	18	53%	0.08	4	-0.09	9	78%	0.02
Josh Hall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Roby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	16	28%	-0.13	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	10	27%	-0.06	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.3	28.8	14.7	26.3	1.8	35.6	131.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +55.5%

OKC -9.5%

SAC +2.9%

OKC -0.9%

SAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	OKC	NBA	SAC	OKC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	14.4	102.0	98.0	111.3
season	14.0	14.2		112.2	102.4
opponent	14.0	14.4		112.7	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.3	13.1	13.7	14.0	14.0
OKC	15.3	14.1	15.1	13.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	78	78	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-7	18	14.3	13.0	1.28	14.4	14.8	-0.33
Delon Wright	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-3	10	14.2	13.3	0.92	14.6	14.3	0.27
Terence Davis	65	67	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-6	16	12.9	16.0	-3.12	14.5	14.6	-0.14
Maurice Harkless	49	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-8	20	13.6	14.4	-0.85	14.7	14.4	0.33
Damian Jones	33	35	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-10	24	12.8	14.5	-1.70	15.4	14.1	1.30
Jahmi'us Ramsey	6	6	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	-3	10	14.2	14.0	0.19	16.5	14.4	2.10
Richaun Holmes	67	64	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.34	-7	11	-18	14.4	13.1	1.32	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Kyle Guy	24	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	6	-8	13.3	14.2	-0.92	14.3	14.6	-0.27
Marvin Bagley III	66	64	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.34	-14	18	-32	14.9	12.2	2.74	14.4	14.7	-0.24
Justin James	40	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.35	-18	22	-40	14.4	13.7	0.64	14.2	14.8	-0.60

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gabriel Deck	35	35	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-11	18	14.5	14.5	-0.02	13.5	14.2	-0.68
Jaylen Hoard	41	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-4	4	14.8	14.3	0.51	13.3	14.4	-1.17
Svi Mykhailiuk	37	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-9	14	15.0	14.2	0.79	13.8	14.1	-0.24
Ty Jerome	41	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-6	8	15.3	14.0	1.29	12.9	14.8	-1.89
Josh Hall	47	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-5	6	15.1	14.0	1.05	13.6	14.3	-0.74
Isaiah Roby	56	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	1	-6	14.2	14.9	-0.70	14.3	13.6	0.78
Luguentz Dort	60	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	4	-12	14.1	15.1	-0.92	14.2	13.8	0.39
Moses Brown	60	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	14.3	14.8	-0.51	14.7	12.9	1.74
Theo Maledon	62	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	3	-10	13.9	15.5	-1.53	14.4	13.3	1.14
Darius Bazley	66	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	7	-18	14.5	14.5	0.02	14.2	13.5	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 108, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
GSW 102, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
DEN 123, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.5%