inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 123 Excitement5.1 [821] MVPNene (DEN): +21.2%
Toronto Raptors 116 Comeback1.4 [690] LVPJerryd Bayless (TOR): -13.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0.210,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.190.040.021279%0.252-0.03989%0.02
Al Harrington0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.160.03-0.021979%0.305-0.091100%0.01
J.R. Smith0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.02-0.04858%0.121-0.023100%0.01
Gary Forbes0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.000.04894%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Ty Lawson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.01662%0.082-0.041100%0.00
Chauncey Billups0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.01-0.011160%0.094-0.061385%0.02
Shelden Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01650%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Melvin Ely-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.0510%-0.003-0.0300%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.020.02545%-0.032-0.051100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.160.020.031679%0.203-0.0510%-0.01
Sonny Weems0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.000.001762%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Julian Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00267%0.0300.002100%0.01
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.031757%0.073-0.068100%0.03
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.07-0.020.071273%0.064-0.08667%-0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.020.011127%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.020.01915%-0.1400.0020%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.11.725.517.627.12.433.4134.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +37.4%
DEN +24.0%
TOR -2.6%
TOR -12.9%
DEN +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENTORNBADENTORNBA
this game15.114.315.5125.5118.4105.7
season14.315.1110.7104.7
opponent15.515.5111.2106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.414.815.117.615.1
TOR13.314.014.915.114.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups72720.64-0.140.770.1118-112914.816.0-1.1314.014.9-0.86
Nene67680.55-0.050.600.0517-102715.115.3-0.1814.713.31.33
Arron Afflalo77770.52-0.020.540.1114-72115.115.10.0514.812.42.39
Gary Forbes52520.470.030.440.0315-82313.816.7-2.8614.214.3-0.17
Al Harrington72710.320.180.150.3207-715.514.11.4414.114.7-0.62
Shelden Williams32330.190.31-0.110.0261514.315.5-1.2214.714.00.67
J.R. Smith5555-0.050.55-0.600.45-1724-4116.513.33.2213.715.0-1.29
Melvin Ely2422-0.070.57-0.640.22-1017-2715.714.90.7613.514.5-0.97
Ty Lawson3940-0.070.57-0.650.16-815-2315.215.10.0814.214.3-0.05

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julian Wright2929-0.05-0.450.41-0.226-131913.714.5-0.8515.515.00.55
Ed Davis3332-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-4-3-112.515.1-2.6214.215.6-1.45
Leandro Barbosa5353-0.16-0.340.17-0.253-101312.915.9-3.0215.514.70.78
Amir Johnson4143-0.20-0.300.090.00-70-714.414.20.1915.514.90.63
Andrea Bargnani8080-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.340-7714.612.71.8815.513.61.93
Linas Kleiza6463-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.340-7714.414.00.3515.115.3-0.19
Jerryd Bayless4746-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-136-1915.513.12.4514.515.7-1.23
DeMar DeRozan6465-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.09-103-1315.212.42.8215.514.50.98
Sonny Weems7979-0.560.06-0.61-0.26-103-1314.115.0-0.9214.816.7-1.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 113, PHX 930.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,095.8%
LAL 98, VAN 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,095.4%
IND 101, ORL 860.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%