NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	114		Excitement	4.3 [837]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +17.7%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	1.1 [1093]		LVP	Justise Winslow (MEM): -11.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	21	60%	0.09	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	9	68%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	14	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Grayson Allen	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.11	-0.01	0.10	13	65%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01	0.13	-0.05	0.09	16	65%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.01	0.02	23	67%	0.19	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.02	0.04	14	78%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	15	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	13	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.18	0.00	-0.09	13	19%	-0.06	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	24.7	15.3	28.5	2.0	35.1	130.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.5%

UTA +0.7%

UTA +10.2%

UTA +2.4%

UTA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	14.4	116.3	117.0	111.3
season	14.0	14.5		111.2	116.4
opponent	14.5	14.5		108.9	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.8	13.8	13.8	13.2	13.9
UTA	16.5	13.4	15.6	15.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	67	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.62	21	-24	45	12.6	16.6	-4.03	16.0	13.5	2.52
Justise Winslow	39	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-1	-1	14.4	13.5	0.92	13.6	16.3	-2.70
Brandon Clarke	43	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-6	9	13.3	14.3	-1.03	16.0	14.6	1.39
De'Anthony Melton	28	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	7	-17	15.0	13.4	1.65	12.8	16.3	-3.50
Ja Morant	76	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.56	11	-14	25	13.4	15.3	-1.83	15.9	13.1	2.77
Tyus Jones	22	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	11	-25	15.3	13.4	1.83	13.1	15.9	-2.77
Jonas Valanciunas	59	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	0	-3	14.2	13.4	0.74	14.3	16.6	-2.29
Kyle Anderson	67	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-3	3	13.6	14.3	-0.68	16.4	12.8	3.63
Grayson Allen	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-2	1	13.5	14.4	-0.92	16.3	13.6	2.70
Desmond Bane	30	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	17	-37	16.3	12.8	3.57	13.8	15.8	-1.96

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	63	60	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-8	19	14.2	16.9	-2.65	14.3	13.2	1.06
Jordan Clarkson	54	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-9	21	14.1	16.5	-2.41	13.8	13.9	-0.02
Georges Niang	27	26	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-9	21	12.1	16.4	-4.21	15.3	13.3	1.92
Bojan Bogdanovic	65	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	4	-5	16.3	13.2	3.15	13.9	13.8	0.10
Royce O'Neale	71	69	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.43	-7	10	-17	16.4	12.3	4.05	13.3	15.2	-1.97
Donovan Mitchell	73	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.50	-10	13	-23	16.4	12.1	4.21	13.4	15.3	-1.96
Joe Ingles	47	46	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.32	-5	8	-13	14.5	15.8	-1.34	14.2	13.6	0.56
Derrick Favors	31	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	10	-17	17.2	14.3	2.91	13.1	14.2	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 79, CHH 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
WAS 81, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
UTA 100, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%