inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 79 Excitement3.1 [1115] MVPDavid Wesley (CHH): +8.5%
Charlotte Hornets 103 Comeback1.2 [1123] LVPCharles Oakley (TOR): -8.5%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Jackson0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.001246%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kornel David0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01450%0.0100.004100%0.01
Michael Stewart0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Tyrone Corbin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dell Curry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02729%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.01833%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011142%-0.021-0.02425%-0.03
Alvin Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.01-0.051932%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.021742%-0.043-0.02250%-0.00
Charles Oakley-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.010.021042%-0.071-0.024100%0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.011968%0.123-0.04978%-0.00
Baron Davis0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.021064%0.0400.002100%0.00
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00467%0.0300.0010%0.00
Eddie Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00669%0.051-0.02475%-0.00
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.06-0.000.031464%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Terrance Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tim James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.012100%0.032-0.032100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.02367%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04739%-0.021-0.01475%-0.01
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.000.00545%-0.032-0.021100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.41.827.614.821.32.429.2119.7
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +55.2%
CHH +3.4%
TOR -2.8%
TOR -7.6%
CHH +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHHNBATORCHHNBA
this game18.914.315.590.8118.4100.9
season15.815.8103.799.7
opponent15.615.497.0101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR19.518.218.119.618.9
CHH13.211.815.417.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Stewart550.00-0.500.500.06-2-222013.419.2-5.7814.214.3-0.06
Tyrone Corbin1413-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-201616.719.3-2.5515.714.01.69
Corliss Williamson3939-0.11-0.390.270.03-5-191419.618.21.3915.813.02.89
Dell Curry3132-0.15-0.350.210.15-10-14417.919.4-1.4712.315.4-3.07
Kevin Willis1516-0.19-0.310.110.07-9-15618.119.0-0.959.315.4-6.05
Kornel David2728-0.22-0.280.070.17-13-11-218.319.1-0.8013.714.5-0.85
Charles Oakley5958-0.26-0.24-0.030.00-9-15619.317.91.3615.412.03.38
Antonio Davis6867-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-9-619.317.41.9014.712.71.95
Mark Jackson6564-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-16-8-819.517.02.4215.211.53.71
Morris Peterson3637-0.40-0.10-0.300.22-21-3-1819.218.60.6312.615.5-2.93
Alvin Williams7676-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-16-8-818.521.0-2.4614.016.0-2.00

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Baron Davis73730.460.040.43-0.152131814.512.91.5818.918.40.59
David Wesley73730.440.060.38-0.152041614.910.93.9619.416.23.14
Elden Campbell55550.430.070.35-0.282402414.114.6-0.4920.016.93.03
P.J. Brown66650.370.130.24-0.131771014.812.42.4019.018.40.65
Eddie Robinson29300.290.210.09-0.001014-412.715.0-2.3419.218.70.48
Jamal Mashburn53520.210.29-0.09-0.141212015.112.92.2019.218.30.85
Lee Nailon19200.120.38-0.25-0.08717-1012.414.8-2.3418.419.0-0.52
Eldridge Recasner23230.100.40-0.31-0.05519-1411.415.3-3.8318.119.1-0.98
Jamaal Magloire34340.080.42-0.340.08024-2414.414.10.3117.020.1-3.09
Terrance Roberson550.000.50-0.50-0.06222-2014.214.3-0.0613.419.2-5.78
Tim James550.000.50-0.50-0.06222-2014.214.3-0.0613.419.2-5.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 103, CLE 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
MEM 88, SAS 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
MEM 82, CHA 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%