NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	8.5 [193]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (SAC): +33.6%
Sacramento Kings	110		Comeback	1.5 [494]		LVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): -16.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3	0.16	0.15	0.00	11	83%	0.33	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.25	0.03	0.22	-0.00	24	54%	0.37	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Clint Capela	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.06	0.00	12	78%	0.28	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.08
Onyeka Okongwu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	9	48%	-0.10	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.34	0.34	0.02	0.30	-0.01	12	63%	0.48	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.10
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.23	0.11	0.02	20	76%	0.43	3	-0.11	9	89%	0.04
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.08	0.18	-0.00	12	62%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	18	39%	-0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.0	26.0	14.8	24.1	2.5	35.5	129.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +4.2%

SAC +33.2%

SAC +19.0%

ATL -7.5%

SAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	14.4	109.1	112.2	111.3
season	14.7	14.0		112.8	112.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		115.9	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.6	13.7	14.0	12.6	14.0
SAC	13.2	15.1	16.0	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Andre Hunter	53	52	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.02	8	-10	18	14.2	13.8	0.42	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Onyeka Okongwu	7	7	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.00	2	-4	6	16.0	13.9	2.14	11.9	15.5	-3.64
Clint Capela	65	63	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-10	18	13.8	14.4	-0.61	15.9	14.0	1.88
Nathan Knight	7	6	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	4	-10	15.0	13.9	1.07	12.0	15.4	-3.45
Danilo Gallinari	51	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	1	-4	15.0	13.0	2.04	14.2	16.4	-2.18
Tony Snell	45	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	4	-10	13.8	14.2	-0.39	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Bogdan Bogdanovic	65	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-5	8	13.6	14.7	-1.10	15.5	14.8	0.63
John Collins	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	3	-8	13.2	15.9	-2.71	16.0	13.4	2.60
Trae Young	80	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	2	-6	13.6	15.7	-2.14	15.6	13.7	1.85
Kevin Huerter	54	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	5	-12	15.1	12.8	2.30	14.9	15.6	-0.67

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	85	86	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-9	20	15.4	14.3	1.07	13.5	17.1	-3.53
Tyrese Haliburton	72	73	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.61	0	2	-2	15.2	15.3	-0.15	14.2	13.4	0.85
Richaun Holmes	61	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-3	8	15.3	15.1	0.20	13.5	14.8	-1.24
De'Aaron Fox	81	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-3	8	15.7	12.9	2.77	13.3	17.3	-3.96
Buddy Hield	78	80	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	5	-8	15.9	12.6	3.25	13.7	15.4	-1.68
Cory Joseph	42	42	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	4	-6	14.2	16.0	-1.79	15.7	12.8	2.92
Hassan Whiteside	37	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	5	-8	15.1	15.3	-0.20	14.8	13.5	1.24
Chimezie Metu	19	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	8	-14	13.4	15.7	-2.32	17.0	13.3	3.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.8,0.72,0.64,0.4,0.54,0.81,0.64,0.77,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.98,1	91.5%
LAC 95, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	91.3%
POR 89, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.71,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.7,0.59,0.47,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.78,1,1	91.3%