inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 102 Excitement7.4 [345] MVPJerami Grant (DET): +58.1%
Chicago Bulls 105 Comeback27.2 [79] LVPJosh Jackson (DET): -18.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerami Grant0.580,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.57,0.580.260.340.022573%0.643-0.069100%0.11
Saddiq Bey0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.110.060.04-0.01763%0.131-0.025100%0.03
Dennis Smith Jr.0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.01953%0.0300.001100%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.010.02-0.020.01952%0.041-0.04333%-0.04
Delon Wright-0.030,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.030.01-0.040.00960%0.042-0.062100%0.01
Isaiah Stewart-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.0030%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.05-0.0340%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Josh Jackson-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.10-0.11-0.02936%-0.103-0.08450%-0.06

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.360.360.130.240.00779%0.3600.00580%0.02
Zach LaVine0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.35,0.340.340.170.210.042273%0.455-0.11771%-0.03
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.180.180.120.080.03975%0.1800.00667%-0.04
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.01675%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Coby White0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,0.04,0.040.04-0.090.12-0.011036%0.113-0.07250%-0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Luke Kornet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.021037%-0.033-0.07425%-0.04
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.01729%-0.041-0.0700%0.00
Denzel Valentine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.12-0.05-0.011114%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.826.214.625.22.540.6134.2
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +51.6%
DET -18.9%
CHI +15.3%
CHI +1.6%
CHI +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHINBADETCHINBA
this game14.714.114.4101.0106.1111.3
season15.014.5107.0109.9
opponent14.314.2111.1111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.514.614.514.414.7
CHI13.314.812.715.614.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Stewart34330.03-0.530.56-0.063-6913.215.5-2.3013.714.2-0.50
Wayne Ellington4644-0.05-0.450.400.10-52-715.714.01.6913.314.7-1.42
Dennis Smith Jr.3637-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-3313.515.4-1.9613.314.5-1.26
Svi Mykhailiuk4040-0.16-0.340.17-0.222-5714.115.1-1.0514.313.90.36
Josh Jackson5656-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.383-6914.015.6-1.5614.813.11.67
Saddiq Bey6766-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.474-71115.114.10.9713.914.3-0.36
Jerami Grant8076-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.27-74-1114.814.40.3814.113.80.31
Mason Plumlee6766-0.530.03-0.56-0.35-63-915.513.22.3014.213.70.50
Delon Wright7977-0.540.04-0.59-0.28-96-1515.213.02.2714.313.31.01

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garrett Temple71720.65-0.150.800.2713-102313.615.1-1.5115.413.12.33
Patrick Williams63630.430.070.360.72-1013-2314.413.50.8813.716.4-2.62
Coby White55530.410.090.330.47-25-713.714.5-0.7513.216.5-3.29
Wendell Carter Jr.58580.410.090.320.47-25-713.614.7-1.1014.115.6-1.44
Zach LaVine72750.320.180.130.2912-113.715.0-1.3414.714.9-0.20
Denzel Valentine51520.210.29-0.08-0.059-61515.112.92.1815.214.21.07
Tomas Satoransky51550.140.36-0.22-0.067-41114.913.11.7815.813.42.38
Thaddeus Young46480.020.48-0.47-0.0730314.413.80.6216.013.52.49
Ryan Arcidiacono1617-0.000.50-0.51-0.0003-312.114.4-2.3113.415.0-1.59
Luke Kornet1212-0.090.59-0.690.02-47-1114.014.1-0.0715.514.60.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.85,0.78,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 99, OKC 1070.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.95,191.5%
PHX 114, IND 1220.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.96,0.96,191.3%
NYK 95, IND 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.91,191.2%