NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	7.3 [329]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +45.0%
Indiana Pacers	122		Comeback	17.1 [39]		LVP	A.J. Price (IND): -13.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.29	0.10	0.17	-0.01	14	65%	0.31	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08	-0.04	0.07	-0.05	12	39%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	16	54%	0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Goran Dragic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Channing Frye	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.07
Jared Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	62%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.45	0.45	0.12	0.32	-0.00	22	63%	0.51	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.28	0.06	0.06	14	83%	0.28	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	6	58%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	78%	0.12	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.01	10	52%	0.10	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	16	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	5	30%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	31.4	16.5	31.3	2.4	34.3	144.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.3%

IND +15.7%

IND +10.5%

PHX -13.8%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	14.0	13.4	15.3	108.6	116.2	106.0
season	14.4	14.2		113.5	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.3	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	13.5	14.7	15.0	14.0
IND	13.6	12.2	11.5	17.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	53	53	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-13	18	14.2	13.9	0.30	13.6	13.2	0.39
Grant Hill	45	47	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	13.1	14.7	-1.58	14.9	12.2	2.76
Lou Amundson	38	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-11	14	13.0	14.6	-1.63	12.2	14.0	-1.81
Goran Dragic	48	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-10	12	14.6	13.6	0.97	11.5	15.0	-3.48
Earl Clark	16	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	14.4	14.0	0.40	9.5	14.1	-4.61
Jared Dudley	60	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	14.1	13.9	0.18	13.5	13.3	0.17
Leandro Barbosa	53	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	14.2	13.9	0.23	13.2	13.6	-0.46
Steve Nash	57	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	2	-12	13.6	14.6	-0.97	15.0	11.5	3.48
Jason Richardson	79	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	2	-12	14.4	13.0	1.38	13.2	13.8	-0.60
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.13	-17	9	-26	14.4	13.0	1.39	14.0	11.7	2.33

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	57	57	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.21	14	-6	20	13.4	13.3	0.11	14.4	13.6	0.72
Dahntay Jones	53	54	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-5	18	13.7	13.1	0.66	14.8	13.3	1.48
Earl Watson	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-2	12	12.9	14.6	-1.69	14.1	13.8	0.29
Danny Granger	84	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	2	4	14.0	10.8	3.23	14.3	12.6	1.72
Roy Hibbert	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-3	14	13.3	13.4	-0.08	15.3	12.9	2.45
Troy Murphy	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-1	10	13.2	13.6	-0.36	12.9	15.7	-2.79
Luther Head	29	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	7	-6	13.6	13.3	0.22	13.1	14.4	-1.32
A.J. Price	46	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	8	-8	12.9	13.8	-0.85	14.2	13.9	0.28
Brandon Rush	32	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	15	-22	13.6	13.3	0.34	14.2	14.0	0.22
Solomon Jones	13	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	16	-24	11.7	13.6	-1.94	12.1	14.3	-2.21
Tyler Hansbrough	23	24	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	17	-26	13.6	13.3	0.28	12.1	14.6	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.83,0.84,1	92.4%
PHX 98, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.71,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.94,0.96,1	91.3%
MIL 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	91.1%