NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	114		Excitement	8.1 [244]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +30.2%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.7 [657]		LVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): -25.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.30	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.3	0.19	0.16	0.05	22	66%	0.35	2	-0.05	12	100%	0.04
James Wiseman	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	9	70%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	18	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eric Paschall	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.00	6	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Kevon Looney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	9	39%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	117%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	0.03	3	80%	0.11	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.06
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	21	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.04	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	19	47%	-0.05	1	0.01	5	80%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.12	-0.01	15	50%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.26	-0.15	-0.11	0.00	9	20%	-0.18	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	25.6	15.3	28.5	2.4	38.7	137.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +83.7%

NYK -4.2%

NYK -44.3%

GSW +14.4%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.4	114.0	105.0	111.3
season	13.5	15.2		109.9	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		107.4	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.2	15.3	12.8	12.7	13.4
NYK	15.6	14.7	16.6	14.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	76	77	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.17	19	-11	30	12.9	15.2	-2.26	15.7	13.6	2.12
Stephen Curry	76	77	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.14	19	-11	30	12.9	15.2	-2.26	15.7	13.6	2.12
Kevon Looney	44	44	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-9	26	12.2	14.4	-2.26	16.4	14.3	2.07
Kelly Oubre Jr.	77	78	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.21	14	-6	20	13.2	14.3	-1.17	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Andrew Wiggins	77	79	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-8	24	12.9	15.4	-2.58	16.0	12.2	3.80
Kent Bazemore	46	45	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	11	-14	14.2	12.8	1.34	14.2	16.0	-1.72
James Wiseman	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	14	-20	14.3	13.0	1.27	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Brad Wanamaker	24	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	19	-30	15.2	12.9	2.26	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Damion Lee	18	18	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	18	-28	16.1	12.9	3.25	13.1	15.7	-2.54
Eric Paschall	30	31	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.09	-15	23	-38	15.3	12.7	2.60	14.2	15.7	-1.50

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	51	49	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.25	17	-25	42	14.5	15.9	-1.43	15.1	11.8	3.32
Obi Toppin	27	27	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.12	12	-20	32	14.6	15.4	-0.78	15.4	12.7	2.68
Immanuel Quickley	27	27	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.12	12	-20	32	14.6	15.4	-0.78	15.4	12.7	2.68
Derrick Rose	59	58	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.29	12	-20	32	13.5	17.5	-3.98	14.2	12.4	1.80
Taj Gibson	52	51	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.29	10	-18	28	13.9	16.6	-2.71	14.2	12.7	1.52
Nerlens Noel	49	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.02	-18	10	-28	16.6	13.9	2.71	12.7	14.2	-1.52
Reggie Bullock	39	39	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.08	-22	14	-36	16.5	14.4	2.10	11.9	14.4	-2.50
RJ Barrett	58	59	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.08	-21	13	-34	16.1	14.0	2.05	12.2	15.2	-3.00
Julius Randle	72	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.14	-20	12	-32	15.6	14.1	1.49	12.9	14.9	-2.05
Elfrid Payton	71	69	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.13	-22	14	-36	15.7	14.1	1.56	12.6	15.4	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 113, VAN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.3%
DAL 83, NOH 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.27,0	91.9%
CLE 97, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.6%