NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	113		Excitement	5.7 [679]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +10.2%
Vancouver Grizzlies	103		Comeback	1.7 [766]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -14.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.03	27	58%	0.14	2	-0.03	15	80%	0.04
Brent Barry	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	87%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	56%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Greg Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.05	9	65%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Jelani McCoy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	6	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Horace Grant	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	14	43%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.03	0.02	8	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	16	82%	0.22	8	-0.22	6	83%	0.01
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	0.03	12	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	17	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	15	40%	-0.02	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	26.9	15.8	24.6	1.0	31.2	124.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -3.2%

SEA +9.1%

SEA +11.8%

SEA +30.0%

SEA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	VAN	NBA	SEA	VAN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.2	120.2	109.6	101.7
season	14.9	15.9		103.5	99.5
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.5	13.6	15.2	18.8	15.2
VAN	17.8	15.2	13.6	15.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	76	78	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.03	21	-11	32	14.8	16.8	-2.07	16.0	12.7	3.29
Brent Barry	73	74	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-7	24	14.9	16.2	-1.33	15.0	17.4	-2.44
Horace Grant	81	82	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.11	18	-8	26	15.0	16.2	-1.24	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Gary Payton	84	84	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.16	16	-6	22	15.4	12.8	2.64	15.6	14.1	1.54
Jelani McCoy	37	37	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-5	20	14.3	15.7	-1.38	16.9	14.5	2.38
Rashard Lewis	59	58	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.24	-9	19	-28	16.0	13.7	2.35	14.3	17.4	-3.10
Greg Foster	29	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.22	-15	25	-40	16.0	14.8	1.17	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Vernon Maxwell	31	30	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	23	-36	15.1	15.2	-0.09	16.3	15.1	1.21

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug West	38	36	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.20	15	-25	40	13.9	16.6	-2.70	16.1	14.6	1.59
Felipe Lopez	13	14	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-18	26	17.1	15.2	1.85	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Dennis Scott	48	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-14	18	13.6	17.4	-3.79	16.0	14.2	1.84
Grant Long	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-9	8	16.8	14.9	1.86	17.4	14.2	3.26
Bryant Reeves	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	15.2	16.4	-1.20	14.3	17.6	-3.32
Othella Harrington	46	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	4	-18	16.1	14.9	1.19	14.3	16.0	-1.67
Mike Bibby	79	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.22	-12	2	-14	16.0	12.5	3.50	15.3	14.3	1.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.08	-18	8	-26	15.5	15.6	-0.10	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Michael Dickerson	71	72	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.02	-24	14	-38	16.1	13.6	2.53	14.5	17.2	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 110, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.07,0.19,0.16,0.01,0.02,0	92.6%
CLE 97, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.6%
MIL 86, SAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.5%