NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	7.5 [339]		MVP	John Wall (HOU): +28.4%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.4 [192]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -30.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16	0.02	0.12	-0.02	8	56%	0.16	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	11	67%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Jalen Brunson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.03	7	74%	0.11	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kristaps Porzingis	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	-0.00	19	59%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Hinton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolo Melli	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	9	5%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Luka Doncic	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.21,-0.3,-0.31	-0.13	-0.17	0.00	26	40%	-0.15	5	-0.16	5	80%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.17	0.03	23	60%	0.30	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	17	61%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.11	-0.01	9	53%	0.16	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	7	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	9	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.11	0.04	9	70%	0.00	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	24.3	14.4	27.4	1.7	31.0	124.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +57.3%

DAL -14.8%

HOU +14.1%

DAL -6.9%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	14.4	101.1	108.5	111.3
season	15.0	14.1		114.3	106.2
opponent	14.0	14.4		113.9	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	18.6	15.9	14.5	15.6
HOU	14.3	15.7	14.8	16.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	15	14	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-17	25	19.9	14.8	5.14	16.1	15.2	0.86
Nicolo Melli	46	45	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-11	13	16.4	14.9	1.48	15.6	15.1	0.41
Josh Green	5	4	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-10	11	25.8	15.0	10.75	14.0	15.4	-1.40
Nate Hinton	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-9	9	15.2	15.7	-0.50	18.1	15.1	3.03
Jalen Brunson	56	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-12	15	16.2	14.7	1.49	16.0	14.3	1.76
Josh Richardson	59	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	1	-11	14.8	17.2	-2.42	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Luka Doncic	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-2	-5	15.8	14.9	0.93	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Tim Hardaway Jr.	58	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	15.3	16.2	-0.87	15.4	15.2	0.24
Dorian Finney-Smith	71	73	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.23	-16	7	-23	14.9	18.1	-3.26	14.9	16.8	-1.83
Kristaps Porzingis	72	75	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.24	-19	10	-29	14.6	19.2	-4.56	15.0	16.7	-1.75

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	69	67	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.18	22	-13	35	15.3	15.5	-0.19	15.0	17.4	-2.43
Christian Wood	75	73	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.17	18	-9	27	14.8	17.6	-2.81	15.0	18.2	-3.19
Jae'Sean Tate	72	70	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-6	21	15.1	16.0	-0.86	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Kevin Porter Jr.	63	63	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-5	19	15.2	15.7	-0.50	14.7	17.7	-3.06
Kelly Olynyk	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	1	7	15.1	16.4	-1.31	14.6	20.4	-5.82
Sterling Brown	38	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	15	-21	16.7	14.4	2.30	17.2	14.6	2.62
Avery Bradley	20	20	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	16	-23	15.9	15.2	0.77	18.9	14.7	4.24
D.J. Augustin	35	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.13	-11	20	-31	15.7	15.1	0.64	17.2	14.8	2.37
Kenyon Martin Jr.	29	29	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.11	-12	21	-33	16.7	14.7	2.00	17.1	14.9	2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.84,1	92.5%
MEM 86, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.9,0.97,1,1	91.9%
CHA 86, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	91.8%