NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	121		Excitement	7.2 [269]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +54.4%
Dallas Mavericks	118		Comeback	2.1 [186]		LVP	Josh Richardson (DAL): -9.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.54	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.54	0.06	0.46	-0.03	26	58%	0.66	5	-0.11	7	71%	0.05
Robert Covington	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.07	0.02	7	94%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.01	4	60%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.01	13	59%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	82%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	100%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harry Giles III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	17	44%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.46	0.46	0.30	0.20	0.04	20	85%	0.61	5	-0.15	12	92%	0.07
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.39	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.00	8	87%	0.43	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.02	9	69%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.08
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	3.0	30.2	15.4	30.5	3.5	38.2	149.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.8	27.9	2.3	32.6	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +53.6%

DAL -13.9%

POR +4.5%

POR +5.1%

POR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	14.4	126.0	124.2	110.9
season	14.9	14.9		115.2	113.2
opponent	14.4	14.1		111.3	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.4	14.2	13.8	17.2	14.8
DAL	13.8	15.1	16.2	16.3	15.3

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.23,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 131, LAC 127	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.04,0	93.3%
WAS 113, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.17,0.42,0	93.0%
DAL 116, ATL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0	92.8%