inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 94 Excitement3.8 [936] MVPGeorges Niang (UTA): +8.3%
Utah Jazz 112 Comeback2.0 [839] LVPJimmy Butler (MIA): -15.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Duncan Robinson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Max Strus0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.130.000.10983%0.0300.0000%0.00
Gabe Vincent0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
KZ Okpala0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendrick Nunn-0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.060.020.101570%0.055-0.063100%0.00
Tyler Herro-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.100.00-0.081637%0.023-0.0400%0.00
Precious Achiuwa-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.0420%-0.023-0.0400%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.070,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.021741%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.020.03839%-0.0700.00250%-0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0330%-0.052-0.0300%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.05-0.030.071047%-0.103-0.051267%-0.04

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Georges Niang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.120.010.05978%0.0800.0000%0.00
Donovan Mitchell0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.02-0.002153%0.092-0.01771%-0.02
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.040.07784%0.082-0.01580%-0.01
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.042100%0.0200.002100%-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.020.011363%0.053-0.03475%0.00
Jarrell Brantley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trent Forrest0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juwan Morgan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
Shaquille Harrison00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Miye Oni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.02433%-0.011-0.024100%0.00
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00750%0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.051535%-0.033-0.021100%0.00
Royce O'Neale0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.010.02657%-0.002-0.052100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.81.728.515.326.42.529.6128.7
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +32.0%
UTA +10.7%
UTA +4.0%
UTA +3.2%
UTA +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAUTANBAMIAUTANBA
this game14.413.614.491.3109.8111.3
season14.614.5109.3116.4
opponent14.514.9108.9110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.914.415.813.714.4
UTA13.815.611.514.013.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gabe Vincent550.00-0.500.50-0.093-21247.214.8-7.6215.813.52.26
KZ Okpala550.00-0.500.50-0.093-21247.214.8-7.6215.813.52.26
Precious Achiuwa1112-0.04-0.460.43-0.102-202210.714.9-4.1613.813.60.21
Max Strus4242-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-202213.715.0-1.3215.012.72.22
Andre Iguodala3837-0.15-0.350.200.08-8-10214.114.7-0.5813.313.8-0.55
Tyler Herro7069-0.22-0.280.060.04-9-9014.115.2-1.0813.613.8-0.21
Bam Adebayo8077-0.24-0.260.030.09-11-7-414.813.31.5313.414.5-1.16
Kendrick Nunn7272-0.34-0.16-0.190.07-14-4-1015.212.72.4413.913.10.78
Duncan Robinson6160-0.45-0.05-0.400.14-202-2215.013.71.3212.715.0-2.22
Kelly Olynyk6363-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.01-16-2-1415.412.92.4514.212.81.34
Jimmy Butler6868-0.530.03-0.560.12-224-2614.614.10.5013.214.6-1.46

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Ingles68670.59-0.090.68-0.2930-124213.513.9-0.4415.612.23.42
Royce O'Neale68680.480.020.460.011621413.114.7-1.6314.713.90.89
Bojan Bogdanovic65640.470.030.45-0.031711613.414.0-0.5515.013.51.50
Rudy Gobert63640.260.240.03-0.231711613.214.4-1.1515.113.41.63
Derrick Favors34340.240.26-0.030.12414-1014.113.40.7514.414.5-0.14
Jordan Clarkson61620.230.27-0.040.06612-614.013.20.8014.414.6-0.19
Donovan Mitchell67700.170.33-0.15-0.00612-613.414.1-0.7514.714.00.66
Georges Niang37380.050.45-0.41-0.07414-1014.413.21.1114.314.6-0.29
Miye Oni29300.010.49-0.49-0.05216-1413.713.60.0113.614.8-1.24
Jarrell Brantley550.000.50-0.500.09-321-2415.813.52.267.214.8-7.62
Trent Forrest440.000.50-0.500.09-321-2416.213.52.714.714.8-10.09
Juwan Morgan550.000.50-0.500.09-321-2415.813.52.267.214.8-7.62
Shaquille Harrison440.000.50-0.500.09-321-2416.213.52.714.714.8-10.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 77, MEM 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
NYK 101, WAS 1170.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
NOH 90, UTA 1160.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%