NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	125		Excitement	6.9 [416]		MVP	Aaron Holiday (IND): +33.9%
Atlanta Hawks	113		Comeback	6.1 [210]		LVP	Solomon Hill (ATL): -9.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.11	0.22	-0.00	11	69%	0.34	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.06	0.03	16	70%	0.20	1	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	11	66%	0.16	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Justin Holiday	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	75%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	13	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Jeremy Lamb	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	54%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	37%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelan Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.12	0.02	17	71%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.01	10	75%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.04	14	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	-0.04	9	52%	0.10	3	-0.11	11	82%	0.02
John Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	17	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	27.3	15.4	28.4	1.8	31.3	128.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.0%

IND +1.1%

IND +4.3%

IND +11.1%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	14.4	121.4	109.7	111.3
season	13.6	14.7		111.5	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		111.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	12.6	15.6	13.8	14.0
ATL	14.6	14.1	12.1	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	68	69	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.06	32	-20	52	13.3	15.5	-2.25	14.6	12.5	2.14
Myles Turner	72	71	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-2	16	14.6	12.7	1.93	13.8	14.2	-0.46
Aaron Holiday	49	50	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-3	18	13.3	14.7	-1.42	14.0	13.9	0.09
Doug McDermott	80	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-4	20	13.7	15.1	-1.42	14.2	13.0	1.24
Malcolm Brogdon	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	4	4	14.9	12.1	2.85	13.7	14.5	-0.86
Jeremy Lamb	41	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	4	4	13.2	14.6	-1.39	14.7	13.4	1.30
Kelan Martin	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	12.0	14.1	-2.07	11.0	14.0	-2.96
JaKarr Sampson	10	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	19	-26	14.8	13.9	0.85	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Justin Holiday	63	63	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.02	-12	24	-36	14.9	12.7	2.13	13.2	15.0	-1.83
Domantas Sabonis	60	61	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.07	-13	25	-38	13.8	14.3	-0.55	13.5	14.5	-0.96

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	60	60	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.20	12	-24	36	13.3	14.8	-1.51	14.9	12.8	2.09
Skylar Mays	19	19	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-17	22	14.6	13.8	0.86	14.2	14.0	0.16
Solomon Hill	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	-8	4	14.9	13.4	1.48	13.6	14.3	-0.71
Brandon Goodwin	37	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-6	0	14.5	13.6	0.87	13.7	14.2	-0.47
Bruno Fernando	11	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-7	2	15.1	13.8	1.30	12.5	14.2	-1.71
Trae Young	80	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-7	2	13.5	15.3	-1.77	14.3	13.1	1.22
Danilo Gallinari	56	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	8	-28	14.5	13.3	1.24	13.4	14.7	-1.27
Cam Reddish	61	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	-4	-4	13.6	14.4	-0.80	13.8	14.3	-0.52
John Collins	79	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	-1	-10	13.8	14.2	-0.36	14.0	14.0	-0.02
Kevin Huerter	74	76	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.15	-18	6	-24	13.7	14.6	-0.86	14.2	13.5	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.15,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 87, ATL 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.34,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,0	92.7%
DAL 106, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.47,0.34,0.2,0.01,0.03,0,0	92.7%
NOK 111, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.16,0.16,0.09,0	91.0%