NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	9.2 [128]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (POR): +67.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	118		Comeback	3.5 [183]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -9.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.3	0.07	0.24	0.01	13	58%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16	0.18	0.01	0.04	12	85%	0.24	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	29%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matisse Thybulle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	12	52%	-0.01	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.07
Joel Embiid	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.03,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	0.07	-0.16	0.01	25	57%	0.11	3	-0.20	11	73%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.68	0.68	0.16	0.50	-0.02	15	75%	0.70	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.08
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.15	0.04	12	79%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	0.05	-0.12	0.02	21	53%	-0.02	3	-0.07	15	93%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.7	31.6	14.8	28.2	3.4	36.6	147.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +4.2%

POR +25.3%

PHI -0.9%

POR +23.7%

PHI -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	14.0	16.1	14.4	117.5	124.2	111.3
season	14.5	14.9		112.6	116.9
opponent	14.2	14.2		115.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.6	14.3	14.0	15.0	14.0
POR	16.2	14.5	15.4	18.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	68	68	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-13	22	13.2	15.8	-2.62	17.2	13.2	3.97
Joel Embiid	68	69	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-13	22	12.7	16.8	-4.09	17.4	12.6	4.75
Ben Simmons	73	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.30	7	-11	18	13.1	16.6	-3.54	17.0	13.1	3.87
Danny Green	65	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-7	10	12.9	16.1	-3.14	16.6	14.9	1.70
Furkan Korkmaz	49	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-3	2	15.0	12.9	2.19	14.8	17.2	-2.48
Dwight Howard	29	26	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	9	-22	16.8	12.7	4.09	12.6	17.4	-4.75
Tyrese Maxey	28	26	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	9	-22	16.3	13.0	3.27	12.6	17.4	-4.75
Matisse Thybulle	30	28	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	3	-10	15.5	13.3	2.18	14.1	16.9	-2.77
Tobias Harris	75	76	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.41	-14	10	-24	14.2	13.0	1.24	16.4	14.8	1.59

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	75	74	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-7	18	16.1	16.0	0.02	14.4	12.6	1.77
Carmelo Anthony	52	52	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-2	8	15.5	16.8	-1.33	14.2	13.7	0.54
Anfernee Simons	44	46	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	-2	8	15.0	17.0	-2.02	14.8	13.2	1.57
Harry Giles III	28	30	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-7	18	13.1	17.3	-4.19	16.5	12.8	3.73
Rodney Hood	48	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	1	2	14.1	18.0	-3.88	14.5	13.3	1.20
Robert Covington	53	54	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.27	-2	6	-8	15.8	16.4	-0.65	12.9	15.3	-2.50
Damian Lillard	70	73	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.24	-8	12	-20	16.7	14.3	2.42	13.0	16.9	-3.93
Derrick Jones Jr.	43	44	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	4	-4	18.2	14.3	3.88	13.6	14.3	-0.67
Enes Kanter	62	61	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	11	-18	18.2	12.0	6.18	13.3	15.1	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 94, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	91.6%
POR 95, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.98,1	91.5%
MIN 105, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	91.3%