NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	7.8 [246]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +8.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	2.6 [459]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -17.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	12	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	23	62%	0.13	4	-0.12	12	33%	-0.18
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	14%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14	-0.01	-0.10	0.03	9	54%	-0.12	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.06
Eddie Jones	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	11	40%	-0.11	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	59%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	11	46%	0.09	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	10	67%	0.16	5	-0.16	7	100%	0.06
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	57%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	19	39%	-0.08	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	29.3	17.4	30.5	2.3	45.3	150.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +30.6%

POR +26.1%

POR +18.0%

LAL -22.6%

LAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.4	15.6	101.1	106.5	102.5
season	14.8	15.9		110.0	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		100.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	13.7	19.1	14.8	15.5
POR	14.4	18.4	16.9	12.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	79	78	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.26	11	-16	27	15.0	18.3	-3.25	16.0	12.4	3.63
Corie Blount	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-5	5	20.0	15.2	4.84	18.7	15.2	3.45
Derek Fisher	59	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.27	7	-12	19	13.5	19.1	-5.57	15.4	15.4	-0.00
Elden Campbell	24	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	3	-11	16.8	15.1	1.70	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Robert Horry	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	14.5	19.0	-4.49	15.0	17.2	-2.24
Shaquille O'Neal	82	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-5	5	15.8	13.4	2.45	16.0	12.0	3.95
Kobe Bryant	28	27	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	6	-17	19.8	13.7	6.09	14.7	15.8	-1.09
Nick Van Exel	34	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	7	-19	19.1	13.5	5.57	15.4	15.4	0.00
Eddie Jones	80	82	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.40	-9	4	-13	14.4	22.7	-8.33	15.0	19.0	-4.04

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Rider	81	81	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.24	12	-7	19	14.6	21.3	-6.77	15.6	14.8	0.80
Walt Williams	59	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	2	1	15.0	16.2	-1.21	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	85	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	1	3	15.5	14.9	0.62	14.8	22.7	-7.90
Damon Stoudamire	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	4	-3	15.9	13.7	2.15	14.5	19.7	-5.22
Arvydas Sabonis	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	2	1	16.1	13.8	2.30	14.8	17.4	-2.56
Brian Grant	46	47	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	1	3	15.2	15.6	-0.40	16.7	14.3	2.42
Gary Grant	20	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	1	3	13.7	15.9	-2.15	19.7	14.5	5.22
Kelvin Cato	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	4	-3	17.2	15.0	2.24	20.1	14.3	5.83
Stacey Augmon	13	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	12	-19	17.3	15.1	2.17	11.8	16.1	-4.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,1	92.2%
IND 89, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.91,1	92.2%
OKC 96, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.98,1	92.1%