NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	7.3 [369]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (WAS): +13.0%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	2.2 [801]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -28.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.02	10	83%	0.20	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	3	83%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Popeye Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Courtney Alexander	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	10	23%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.28	-0.18	-0.11	-0.00	16	50%	0.01	8	-0.29	10	90%	0.06

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	11	63%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Tony Delk	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	21	48%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.04
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	20	41%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	31.3	16.3	26.8	2.0	33.0	136.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +9.1%

BOS +11.6%

WAS -9.2%

BOS +37.9%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	16.4	14.5	15.6	97.8	104.3	102.3
season	16.5	15.0		102.2	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.3		98.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.0	14.3	16.0	17.4	16.4
BOS	14.0	13.3	14.6	16.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	41	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-8	9	15.2	17.2	-2.03	14.3	14.6	-0.27
Hubert Davis	3	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-5	3	23.3	16.1	7.21	7.7	14.7	-7.01
Jahidi White	30	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-3	-1	17.5	15.8	1.74	14.0	14.7	-0.73
Tyronn Lue	67	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-7	7	15.3	19.0	-3.62	14.7	14.0	0.69
Kwame Brown	35	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-10	13	16.4	16.3	0.12	15.6	13.7	1.91
Tyrone Nesby	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	0	-7	16.3	16.4	-0.12	13.1	15.0	-1.84
Popeye Jones	19	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-1	-5	17.3	16.1	1.14	13.0	14.8	-1.83
Courtney Alexander	74	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-7	7	16.4	16.1	0.31	15.0	12.2	2.88
Chris Whitney	29	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	0	-7	17.7	15.8	1.89	13.2	15.1	-1.90
Richard Hamilton	81	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-4	1	16.3	16.7	-0.45	14.7	12.7	2.05
Christian Laettner	60	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	3	-13	16.4	16.3	0.13	14.8	13.8	0.99

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	69	66	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-3	13	14.3	14.8	-0.52	17.1	14.6	2.43
Vitaly Potapenko	50	51	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-7	21	14.4	14.5	-0.08	17.6	14.9	2.69
Eric Williams	27	27	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-2	11	15.1	14.2	0.97	17.2	16.0	1.17
Antoine Walker	79	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	2	3	14.6	13.7	0.94	16.7	14.5	2.17
Paul Pierce	92	91	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	3	1	14.5	12.0	2.51	16.3	17.5	-1.17
Kenny Anderson	57	58	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	4	-1	14.0	15.1	-1.12	16.2	16.6	-0.39
Rodney Rogers	39	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	9	-11	15.0	14.1	0.93	15.4	17.0	-1.53
Mark Blount	19	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	8	-9	13.6	14.7	-1.10	14.1	16.9	-2.89
Erick Strickland	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	8	-9	13.9	14.5	-0.62	14.1	16.7	-2.65
Walter McCarty	25	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.00	-6	13	-19	14.6	14.4	0.19	14.8	16.9	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.91,1	94.2%
NYK 87, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.9,0.72,0.84,0.82,1	93.3%
MIL 102, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.83,0.99,1	93.3%