inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 118 Excitement7.9 [277] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +34.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 120 Comeback4.3 [282] LVPJordan McLaughlin (MIN): -14.1%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Edwards0.170,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.170.100.07-0.011656%0.1700.00450%-0.01
Jake Layman0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.160.130.060.03976%0.1600.00367%-0.00
Jaylen Nowell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.13-0.010.05894%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Jaden McDaniels0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.02-0.04567%0.113-0.07250%-0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ed Davis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Okogie-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.0400.0020%-0.02
Ricky Rubio-0.050,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01657%0.013-0.062100%0.00
Malik Beasley-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.030.011944%-0.042-0.0210%-0.02
Naz Reid-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.13,0.23,-0.01,-0.10.07-0.150.022160%0.153-0.25667%0.02
Jordan McLaughlin-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.060.00621%-0.111-0.03250%-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.340.340.140.17-0.032262%0.552-0.21683%0.02
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.02-0.021050%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Theo Maledon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.03-0.01862%0.143-0.1000%0.00
Darius Bazley0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.030.03-0.000.03-0.011054%0.142-0.11450%-0.01
Darius Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011150%0.0300.0000%0.00
Hamidou Diallo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.021354%0.092-0.072100%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.16-0.070.101273%0.041-0.056100%0.02
Luguentz Dort0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011045%0.002-0.04250%-0.01
Justin Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.050.01475%0.042-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.327.914.627.62.430.2129.6
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +57.7%
OKC +0.3%
OKC +5.7%
MIN -16.3%
OKC +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINOKCNBAMINOKCNBA
this game14.114.014.4115.7116.5111.3
season14.114.2108.7102.4
opponent14.014.0112.7113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.513.711.515.814.1
OKC11.713.516.214.814.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaden McDaniels50500.27-0.771.040.096-81414.513.70.8714.014.0-0.08
Jordan McLaughlin49510.22-0.720.940.162-4614.813.51.3413.514.5-0.93
Jaylen Nowell44460.09-0.590.680.032-4614.413.80.5914.813.41.37
Jarred Vanderbilt41410.06-0.560.62-0.126-81413.014.9-1.8813.814.1-0.32
Ed Davis78-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-3413.914.1-0.2611.114.2-3.12
Josh Okogie1919-0.17-0.330.160.12-108-1813.514.2-0.7013.914.0-0.13
Malik Beasley7373-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.35-31-414.513.21.2913.615.1-1.51
Jake Layman4749-0.570.07-0.63-0.33-86-1414.214.00.2114.813.31.44
Anthony Edwards6767-0.580.08-0.66-0.642-4614.313.70.5413.714.6-0.85
Naz Reid6059-0.650.15-0.79-0.53-42-613.714.6-0.9314.313.70.60
Ricky Rubio5352-0.720.22-0.94-0.60-42-613.514.8-1.3414.513.50.93

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander73730.75-0.251.000.547-51213.714.7-0.9414.513.11.34
Luguentz Dort67670.72-0.220.940.6620213.714.6-0.9414.613.11.45
Kenrich Williams64660.66-0.160.820.69-13-413.714.5-0.7414.413.60.80
Darius Bazley58580.140.36-0.210.47-1113-2413.814.2-0.3913.714.7-0.99
Mike Muscala51500.080.42-0.33-0.096-41014.113.90.1613.314.9-1.57
Hamidou Diallo6564-0.020.52-0.53-0.103-1414.413.31.0414.613.21.46
Justin Jackson4240-0.040.55-0.59-0.257-51214.413.70.6814.114.1-0.04
Darius Miller2726-0.150.65-0.80-0.2120214.114.00.1013.814.2-0.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 85, DEN 890.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.85,190.4%
DET 109, ORL 1130.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.58,189.6%
DEN 102, TOR 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,189.6%