inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 102 Excitement8.0 [265] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +27.1%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback4.2 [484] LVPEmmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -17.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.130.100.03-0.00972%0.1300.0000%0.00
Will Barton0.120,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.150.010.04784%0.1200.00580%0.01
Kenneth Faried0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.01360%0.0200.004100%0.02
Danilo Gallinari-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,00.06-0.06-0.001153%-0.0000.008100%0.04
Nikola Jokic-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01967%0.074-0.0900%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.030.00745%-0.0300.00667%-0.02
Jusuf Nurkic-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05-0.060.020.001437%-0.011-0.04743%-0.11
Jamal Murray-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.00411%-0.081-0.051100%0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17-0.06-0.100.011742%-0.072-0.10475%-0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.09,0.02,0.14,0.270.270.060.19-0.022058%0.403-0.131080%-0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.27,0.18,0.180.180.120.05-0.002360%0.201-0.03978%-0.03
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.020.01862%0.0300.0000%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.03-0.00558%0.0100.002100%0.01
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00430%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.03-0.011250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.01837%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00312%-0.0800.00250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.431.415.429.61.834.2139.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +38.4%
DEN -4.9%
TOR +19.1%
DEN -1.2%
DEN -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENTORNBADENTORNBA
this game14.516.614.8109.7114.1107.7
season14.415.2111.6110.0
opponent14.914.5106.9111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.715.013.215.414.5
TOR17.214.416.218.916.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenneth Faried30300.32-0.821.140.262-5715.813.91.9115.417.2-1.79
Jamal Murray24240.30-0.801.100.213-6915.414.21.1815.017.2-2.23
Will Barton5859-0.02-0.480.47-0.072-5713.815.8-1.9816.716.40.38
Nikola Jokic4545-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.02-96-1515.213.91.2815.217.9-2.67
Jusuf Nurkic7473-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.495-81313.817.3-3.4317.214.42.82
Wilson Chandler5958-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.32-2-1-114.714.20.5716.816.20.59
Jameer Nelson4039-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.36-30-315.813.52.3016.516.7-0.12
Danilo Gallinari7170-0.820.32-1.14-0.67-52-714.115.9-1.7417.214.72.53
Emmanuel Mudiay6462-0.840.34-1.17-0.60-85-1314.115.6-1.5217.215.51.69

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Valanciunas57580.83-0.331.160.656-3917.415.32.1414.215.1-0.88
DeMarre Carroll53540.80-0.301.090.626-3917.815.02.8413.915.4-1.50
DeMar DeRozan74750.57-0.070.640.5703-317.114.72.4114.116.2-2.09
Patrick Patterson60610.55-0.050.600.347-41116.916.00.9315.113.51.63
Kyle Lowry68690.51-0.010.530.317-41116.716.30.4314.714.00.67
Norman Powell55-0.000.50-0.510.02-14-512.616.8-4.2416.814.42.39
Pascal Siakam3232-0.050.55-0.600.07-47-1116.016.9-0.9313.515.1-1.63
Terrence Ross2930-0.060.56-0.62-0.1530314.917.4-2.4515.514.11.42
Cory Joseph4746-0.320.82-1.13-0.14-69-1515.817.4-1.6414.814.30.53
Jakob Poeltl3535-0.330.83-1.16-0.24-36-915.317.4-2.1415.114.20.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 92, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.91,192.3%
LAL 92, NJN 940.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.85,191.8%
SAC 99, HOU 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.34,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.96,190.7%