NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	97		Excitement	6.6 [466]		MVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): +95.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	150.5 [11]		LVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): -16.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Anthony	0.95	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.95	0.11	0.86	0.02	7	93%	0.97	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	27	48%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Fournier	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	21	52%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Gary Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	-0.00	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Khem Birch	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	14%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	14	28%	-0.10	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.02	8	78%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	5	55%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	69%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.04	-0.03	17	54%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	3	40%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.07
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	15	43%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	14	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	28.6	15.3	26.0	1.8	37.0	134.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +42.9%

ORL +3.7%

MIN -4.9%

ORL +1.5%

ORL +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIN	NBA	ORL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	14.4	101.0	100.0	111.3
season	14.9	14.1		103.9	108.7
opponent	14.0	14.0		113.9	113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	16.5	14.6	16.0	15.4
MIN	16.0	13.5	14.8	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	57	57	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.47	15	-14	29	14.3	17.1	-2.80	14.9	14.1	0.77
Evan Fournier	57	59	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-14	29	14.4	17.0	-2.67	14.9	14.0	0.87
Cole Anthony	57	57	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.57	10	-9	19	15.2	15.7	-0.47	14.9	14.0	0.95
Nikola Vucevic	85	84	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-9	19	15.7	13.5	2.14	14.9	12.5	2.36
Aaron Gordon	73	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.40	9	-8	17	14.8	17.3	-2.46	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Gary Clark	16	17	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.03	-12	13	-25	15.4	15.4	-0.08	13.1	14.9	-1.76
Khem Birch	49	48	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.02	-12	13	-25	16.6	14.3	2.32	14.7	14.4	0.29
Dwayne Bacon	39	37	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.03	-14	15	-29	17.0	14.4	2.67	14.0	14.9	-0.87
Terrence Ross	47	47	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	0.00	-16	17	-33	16.4	14.6	1.81	14.1	15.0	-0.89

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	52	52	0.55	-1.05	1.59	-0.01	19	-20	39	14.2	15.0	-0.72	16.2	14.5	1.73
Anthony Edwards	44	44	0.33	-0.83	1.17	-0.05	13	-14	27	14.4	14.7	-0.33	16.9	14.2	2.63
Naz Reid	58	59	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.31	-4	3	-7	14.9	14.1	0.76	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Ed Davis	36	35	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.08	3	-4	7	14.6	14.5	0.08	16.8	14.6	2.19
D'Angelo Russell	64	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.29	-13	12	-25	14.5	14.7	-0.19	15.2	16.0	-0.84
Jarrett Culver	32	30	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.75	6	-7	13	12.6	15.6	-3.00	16.3	15.0	1.30
Malik Beasley	67	68	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.49	-7	6	-13	15.1	13.4	1.65	14.7	17.2	-2.56
Jordan McLaughlin	40	42	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.81	4	-5	9	14.9	14.3	0.62	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Josh Okogie	51	51	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.42	-14	13	-27	14.9	14.2	0.77	14.5	16.5	-1.98
Jarred Vanderbilt	36	35	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.52	-12	11	-23	14.8	14.4	0.34	14.5	16.0	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.91,0	90.9%
OKC 114, BKN 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.58,0	90.1%
NOH 98, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.72,0.57,0.73,0	89.3%