NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	108		Excitement	6.7 [446]		MVP	Chris Boucher (TOR): +18.9%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	1.9 [887]		LVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): -16.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.00	16	69%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	0.09	-0.05	0.03	7	86%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	14	59%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	15	50%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	7	28%	-0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
LaMelo Ball	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	14	50%	-0.01	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.02	0.01	12	78%	0.21	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.02	15	48%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	80%	0.13	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	13	42%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	20	42%	0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	24.6	15.6	23.3	2.4	30.5	124.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +34.3%

TOR +4.1%

TOR +2.3%

TOR +9.6%

CHA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	14.4	110.2	114.4	111.3
season	14.2	14.2		109.4	111.0
opponent	14.6	14.7		111.2	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.1	14.3	15.8	14.2	14.6
TOR	14.1	12.4	14.9	19.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	78	74	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.39	15	-18	33	14.8	13.7	1.08	15.2	14.2	1.06
Miles Bridges	59	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.49	14	-17	31	13.1	16.7	-3.62	15.8	13.7	2.09
Bismack Biyombo	53	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	3	-9	15.8	13.2	2.60	13.9	16.1	-2.27
Caleb Martin	47	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	5	-13	14.6	14.5	0.07	15.1	14.9	0.25
Cody Martin	13	13	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	12	-27	15.8	14.4	1.48	10.5	15.7	-5.22
Malik Monk	48	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	8	-19	14.9	14.3	0.61	13.8	16.1	-2.28
P.J. Washington	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-6	9	14.2	15.2	-1.02	15.8	13.1	2.72
Terry Rozier	76	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	0	-3	14.9	13.4	1.49	15.1	14.5	0.68
LaMelo Ball	50	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.46	-4	1	-5	13.9	15.2	-1.31	15.5	14.4	1.13

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	71	71	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-11	25	14.7	15.8	-1.13	14.7	14.3	0.42
Pascal Siakam	73	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.42	1	2	-1	15.7	12.9	2.74	14.7	14.1	0.59
Chris Boucher	60	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	2	-1	15.1	14.7	0.45	14.7	14.4	0.29
Fred VanVleet	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.46	-5	8	-13	16.0	12.4	3.64	14.5	14.6	-0.08
Yuta Watanabe	34	33	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	-5	13	12.6	16.3	-3.68	14.9	14.4	0.52
OG Anunoby	63	65	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.39	-5	8	-13	16.3	12.6	3.68	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Norman Powell	41	43	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	-4	11	14.2	15.6	-1.36	14.7	14.5	0.24
Stanley Johnson	45	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	1	1	13.5	16.3	-2.78	14.2	14.9	-0.73
Aron Baynes	15	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	4	-5	14.9	15.0	-0.05	15.4	14.4	0.99
Malachi Flynn	14	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	10	-17	14.2	15.1	-0.89	12.8	14.9	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 114, MIN 126	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.9%
NOH 87, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
LAL 82, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%