inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 87 Excitement4.7 [907] MVPAl Jefferson (UTA): +13.2%
Utah Jazz 105 Comeback1.6 [827] LVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): -9.0%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.01871%0.121-0.028100%0.04
Jarrett Jack0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.02-0.03440%0.0400.002100%0.02
Willie Green0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.021059%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Marco Belinelli0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.01-0.00667%0.051-0.03367%-0.01
DJ Mbenga0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.02
Aaron Gray0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Quincy Pondexter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Thornton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.01-0.00233%0.002-0.042100%0.01
David West-0.060,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.04-0.021250%-0.013-0.05650%-0.04
Trevor Ariza-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.011236%-0.031-0.031100%0.01
Jason Smith-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.01643%-0.022-0.052100%0.01
Emeka Okafor-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.02744%-0.034-0.06250%-0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Jefferson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.050.041666%0.151-0.023100%0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.02-0.001068%0.131-0.025100%0.03
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.05-0.00-0.04573%0.0810.001100%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.010.041865%0.165-0.114100%0.02
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01650%0.0300.004100%0.02
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.01675%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.01560%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jeremy Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gordon Hayward00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.02737%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.0160%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.432.615.729.21.728.2133.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +25.3%
UTA +5.0%
UTA +6.7%
UTA +13.7%
NOH -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHUTANBANOHUTANBA
this game15.016.315.594.6114.1105.7
season16.215.9104.6106.4
opponent15.315.9108.2104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH16.413.114.316.515.0
UTA14.915.717.017.816.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza53520.01-0.510.52-0.197-253214.515.6-1.0416.516.10.34
DJ Mbenga2423-0.09-0.410.32-0.121-192013.115.7-2.5818.415.62.83
Emeka Okafor4846-0.11-0.390.280.13-8-10216.113.82.2416.416.30.11
Chris Paul7068-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-12614.915.4-0.5516.715.21.55
David West6159-0.16-0.340.180.13-10-8-214.416.1-1.6216.615.80.73
Marco Belinelli5755-0.17-0.330.170.07-8-10214.216.2-1.9517.015.41.61
Quincy Pondexter1012-0.17-0.330.160.06-8-10215.814.90.9114.816.5-1.70
Marcus Thornton2123-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.02-9-9015.314.90.3816.316.3-0.07
Aaron Gray1821-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-12-6-615.214.90.2213.717.1-3.37
Jason Smith3335-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.12-7-11415.714.61.1516.016.5-0.55
Jarrett Jack2427-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-11-7-415.015.00.0115.316.7-1.44
Willie Green4139-0.38-0.12-0.270.17-191-2016.513.82.6615.716.8-1.08

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Price30260.480.020.47-0.0719-12014.917.0-2.1016.114.51.57
CJ Miles38410.460.040.43-0.2424-63015.416.9-1.5215.314.70.55
Francisco Elson35340.460.040.43-0.041711615.516.8-1.3815.314.80.48
Earl Watson35360.330.170.17-0.141621416.416.30.1414.915.0-0.07
Deron Williams68690.270.230.04-0.08126616.416.00.4815.314.21.09
Al Jefferson65660.270.230.040.07711-416.815.21.5515.214.30.90
Paul Millsap63640.170.33-0.16-0.07810-216.316.3-0.0414.915.2-0.27
Kyrylo Fesenko17180.100.40-0.30-0.05513-815.716.5-0.7514.115.2-1.09
Andrei Kirilenko50490.040.46-0.430.18-523-2816.815.80.9714.915.1-0.28
Jeremy Evans420.000.50-0.500.03-119-2019.216.23.0712.015.1-3.06
Gordon Hayward420.000.50-0.500.03-119-2019.216.23.0712.015.1-3.06
Raja Bell5153-0.090.59-0.670.24-1129-4016.915.61.3614.116.2-2.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 82, POR 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
SEA 106, MIN 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,194.4%
LAL 85, MIA 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,194.3%