NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	8.5 [195]		MVP	Larry Nance Jr. (CLE): +29.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	90		Comeback	4.3 [179]		LVP	Tyus Jones (MEM): -31.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Nance Jr.	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.12	0.00	7	129%	0.37	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.08	-0.00	7	81%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dean Wade	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	2	150%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04	-0.05	0.09	-0.00	9	40%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Thon Maker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	20	48%	0.14	6	-0.19	6	67%	-0.02
Lamar Stevens	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.03,0,-0.08	-0.06	0.00	0.02	19	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Damyean Dotson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	12	32%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	11	65%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.07
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	12	42%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.00	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	13	39%	0.06	4	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.19,-0.32	-0.32	-0.02	-0.29	0.01	9	50%	-0.14	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	23.2	14.6	26.5	2.5	32.3	122.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +46.2%

MEM -12.6%

MEM -15.4%

CLE +32.6%

MEM -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	14.4	97.9	93.8	111.3
season	15.2	14.0		104.5	111.2
opponent	14.5	14.0		110.4	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	15.9	15.3	16.9	16.1
MEM	13.6	13.6	14.7	13.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damyean Dotson	73	73	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-6	16	15.7	17.4	-1.68	13.5	15.2	-1.69
Larry Nance Jr.	70	69	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.31	13	-9	22	16.3	15.5	0.79	14.1	13.3	0.82
Cedi Osman	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-3	10	16.2	15.6	0.65	14.1	13.3	0.79
Andre Drummond	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	4	-4	16.9	13.5	3.39	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Isaac Okoro	78	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.38	-1	5	-6	17.0	12.3	4.72	13.4	15.8	-2.37
JaVale McGee	35	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.08	10	-6	16	14.2	17.2	-2.97	14.5	13.5	1.07
Dean Wade	24	26	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	5	-6	14.0	16.8	-2.82	14.7	13.6	1.11
Thon Maker	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	4	-4	16.9	16.0	0.88	12.3	14.1	-1.82
Lamar Stevens	40	40	-0.54	1.04	-1.58	-0.01	-18	22	-40	15.8	16.4	-0.58	14.2	13.7	0.54

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Tillman	41	38	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.16	2	-6	8	15.0	13.1	1.95	14.7	17.0	-2.28
De'Anthony Melton	44	42	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-11	18	13.7	14.1	-0.42	14.8	17.1	-2.36
Grayson Allen	34	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	1	-6	15.3	13.1	2.18	14.0	17.2	-3.18
Gorgui Dieng	39	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-1	-2	14.7	13.3	1.36	14.9	16.9	-2.01
Desmond Bane	48	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-7	10	13.9	13.9	0.06	15.0	17.2	-2.14
Kyle Anderson	54	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.39	7	-11	18	13.2	14.8	-1.56	17.2	14.6	2.61
Brandon Clarke	58	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-3	2	13.5	14.5	-0.97	17.4	13.9	3.51
Jonas Valanciunas	53	56	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.52	-5	1	-6	13.1	14.8	-1.72	16.7	15.2	1.48
Tyus Jones	52	54	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	7	-18	14.1	13.7	0.42	17.1	14.8	2.36
Dillon Brooks	57	56	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.41	-14	10	-24	13.4	14.6	-1.14	16.9	15.0	1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.55,0.16,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.54,0.32,0.04,0	91.1%
DAL 83, NOH 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.36,0.17,0.27,0	90.5%
POR 103, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.35,0.08,0	90.4%