NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	7.9 [282]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +38.7%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	11.7 [51]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -26.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.17	0.00	7	80%	0.34	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.09
RJ Barrett	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.12	0.01	19	58%	0.23	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	6	67%	0.19	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	18	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	19	61%	0.09	7	-0.22	8	75%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.17	0.21	-0.01	15	70%	0.39	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.02	15	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	11	43%	-0.01	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	12	37%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.07	-0.17	0.02	22	53%	0.03	8	-0.29	15	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	27.2	14.8	30.4	2.4	33.7	135.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.5%

NYK +14.0%

NYK +0.4%

ATL -8.8%

ATL -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.5	14.4	114.1	108.0	111.3
season	15.2	14.7		109.2	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.6		111.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.7	16.0	17.1	15.2	15.4
ATL	12.5	14.0	14.9	13.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	35	37	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.36	17	-12	29	17.2	14.5	2.70	14.7	12.8	1.86
RJ Barrett	86	88	0.63	-0.15	0.78	0.22	14	-8	22	16.1	15.1	0.95	13.9	11.8	2.17
Austin Rivers	65	66	0.62	-0.13	0.75	0.47	5	1	4	16.0	15.9	0.15	13.9	13.5	0.38
Julius Randle	87	88	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.30	6	0	6	15.8	18.2	-2.49	13.5	16.3	-2.86
Kevin Knox II	35	36	0.29	0.19	0.10	0.18	4	2	2	16.0	15.9	0.05	14.5	13.3	1.25
Mitchell Robinson	54	56	0.07	0.41	-0.34	0.19	-4	10	-14	16.7	15.0	1.75	13.7	13.9	-0.19
Reggie Bullock	53	54	-0.15	0.64	-0.79	-0.12	-1	7	-8	15.3	16.8	-1.46	13.3	14.3	-1.09
Elfrid Payton	60	60	-0.37	0.86	-1.22	-0.05	-11	17	-28	15.3	17.2	-1.90	13.1	14.7	-1.55

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	62	60	0.29	-0.57	0.86	-0.09	13	-16	29	14.1	13.5	0.57	16.7	14.5	2.15
Trae Young	78	78	0.02	-0.30	0.32	-0.24	9	-12	21	13.4	16.2	-2.75	15.9	16.2	-0.33
Solomon Hill	23	22	-0.11	-0.16	0.05	-0.08	-1	-2	1	13.5	14.0	-0.56	15.5	16.1	-0.57
Clint Capela	63	62	-0.13	-0.14	0.01	-0.10	-1	-2	1	14.0	13.7	0.24	16.1	15.6	0.55
Cam Reddish	57	55	-0.28	0.00	-0.28	-0.19	-3	0	-3	14.1	13.7	0.38	16.7	14.8	1.88
Bogdan Bogdanovic	41	40	-0.29	0.02	-0.30	0.09	-13	10	-23	13.7	14.1	-0.39	14.3	17.2	-2.89
Brandon Goodwin	16	14	-0.30	0.02	-0.32	0.05	-12	9	-21	16.2	13.4	2.75	16.2	15.9	0.33
Kevin Huerter	58	59	-0.40	0.13	-0.53	-0.22	-6	3	-9	13.8	14.1	-0.34	15.9	16.0	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 115, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.07,0.04,0	90.9%
HOU 93, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.15,0	90.6%
POR 77, ATL 75	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.67,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	90.6%