NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	9.3 [136]		MVP	Jeff Green (HOU): +27.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	110		Comeback	1.2 [529]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -22.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.15	-0.00	15	65%	0.31	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Ben McLemore	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	14	59%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.06	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	11	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.10	0.02	14	37%	-0.16	1	-0.03	12	42%	-0.12
James Harden	-0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.11,-0.21,-0.22	0.00	-0.21	0.01	17	56%	-0.02	4	-0.20	7	86%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.02	11	67%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	5	69%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	19	47%	0.07	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.04
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	14	45%	0.05	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	18	50%	0.08	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.04
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.06
Zach Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	29.5	15.6	27.6	3.3	34.7	141.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -2.6%

POR +15.9%

POR +41.1%

HOU -1.2%

HOU -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	12.9	14.9	14.2	98.1	106.8	109.6
season	13.4	14.4		111.2	111.9
opponent	13.9	14.4		113.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.3	12.4	13.3	12.6	12.9
POR	13.8	13.7	16.0	16.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	29	31	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-11	14	11.4	13.5	-2.08	17.6	13.8	3.85
Ben McLemore	54	54	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-6	4	12.5	13.3	-0.82	15.1	14.8	0.32
P.J. Tucker	73	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-8	8	13.3	12.0	1.30	14.2	16.7	-2.51
Jeff Green	58	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	0	-8	13.1	12.7	0.43	15.9	13.7	2.14
Danuel House Jr.	79	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	12.8	13.2	-0.38	14.6	16.0	-1.44
Robert Covington	76	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	2	-12	12.7	13.5	-0.75	15.7	12.8	2.92
James Harden	74	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	0	-8	13.3	12.0	1.28	13.8	17.7	-3.92
Russell Westbrook	77	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	2	-12	13.2	12.1	1.03	14.4	16.5	-2.11

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	65	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	1	6	13.4	17.6	-4.17	13.3	12.2	1.12
Gary Trent Jr.	76	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	1	6	14.8	15.4	-0.61	12.7	13.6	-0.92
Damian Lillard	86	86	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	5	-2	14.4	17.7	-3.33	13.2	11.8	1.37
Anfernee Simons	34	34	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-5	18	16.8	14.0	2.75	11.9	13.4	-1.58
CJ McCollum	86	88	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	8	-8	14.7	15.8	-1.08	13.1	11.9	1.15
Carmelo Anthony	76	76	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	5	-2	15.7	12.7	2.96	12.6	13.8	-1.24
Zach Collins	56	58	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	6	-4	14.2	15.7	-1.51	13.7	11.9	1.83
Hassan Whiteside	36	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	3	2	17.5	13.6	3.92	12.1	13.4	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.7,0.8,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.69,0.84,1	92.5%
POR 108, NOP 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.53,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.79,0.86,0.72,1	92.0%
CLE 84, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.49,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.58,1	91.7%