NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	7.2 [381]		MVP	Dan Majerle (PHX): +23.3%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.3 [728]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -16.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.09	0.01	15	74%	0.27	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	79%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Vin Baker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	12	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Desmond Mason	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	12	31%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	17	47%	-0.06	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.18	0.02	8	69%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	16	73%	0.13	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.11	-0.01	13	31%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	83%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	91%	0.06	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	11%	-0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	14	41%	-0.10	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	25.3	15.8	22.3	2.4	33.4	122.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.6%

SEA -15.3%

PHX +15.2%

PHX +3.0%

PHX +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.6	102.2	111.2	102.3
season	16.0	15.1		106.3	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.8		102.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.3	16.4	17.7	14.7	15.7
PHX	13.9	17.9	15.0	19.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	30	29	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.14	9	-16	25	16.0	15.6	0.37	19.2	15.1	4.12
Vin Baker	42	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-8	9	16.2	15.3	0.83	18.8	14.5	4.29
Earl Watson	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-1	-5	17.0	15.3	1.74	18.3	15.8	2.43
Jerome James	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-1	-5	15.9	15.6	0.38	13.7	18.4	-4.72
Ansu Sesay	33	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-5	3	15.2	16.1	-0.90	18.4	15.3	3.07
Brent Barry	75	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	15.4	17.5	-2.09	16.2	17.7	-1.53
Gary Payton	81	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	15.7	16.2	-0.56	16.2	19.2	-3.06
Predrag Drobnjak	58	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	2	-11	15.5	16.2	-0.72	15.4	18.5	-3.15
Desmond Mason	70	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	7	-21	15.7	15.7	-0.04	15.4	20.3	-4.90

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	68	70	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-9	25	14.6	22.4	-7.81	15.8	15.6	0.16
Stephon Marbury	72	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-10	27	15.0	22.5	-7.50	15.9	15.0	0.88
Dan Majerle	48	48	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.14	13	-6	19	16.7	16.1	0.58	15.2	16.3	-1.06
Shawn Marion	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	6	-5	16.0	17.2	-1.15	15.9	15.4	0.55
Alton Ford	42	42	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	8	-9	16.8	16.1	0.66	16.0	15.5	0.57
Bo Outlaw	57	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	1	5	15.8	17.6	-1.77	16.1	15.0	1.17
Jake Tsakalidis	23	23	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	0	7	13.2	17.6	-4.43	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Jake Voskuhl	39	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	13	-19	18.9	14.6	4.34	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Milt Palacio	17	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.11	-10	17	-27	22.5	15.0	7.50	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Anfernee Hardaway	23	22	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	15	-23	22.5	14.4	8.11	15.5	15.8	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.69,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.57,0.73,1	94.5%
MIN 105, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	92.9%
POR 108, NOP 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.53,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.79,0.86,0.72,1	92.6%