NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	8.5 [185]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +53.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	110		Comeback	1.2 [578]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -18.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.53	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.53	0.20	0.33	-0.00	18	71%	0.53	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mo Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.15	0.00	9	44%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	13	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,-0.01	0.09	-0.08	0.02	25	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	9	40%	-0.08	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.33	0.33	0.08	0.23	-0.02	15	62%	0.33	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.27,0.18,0.29	0.29	0.05	0.25	0.01	28	53%	0.39	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.12	-0.01	19	64%	0.28	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	53%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.4	15.4	27.9	1.8	34.2	133.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +38.9%

NOP +0.8%

NOP +6.0%

NOP +5.2%

POR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOP	NBA	POR	NOP	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.1	113.7	115.8	105.2
season	15.1	15.5		109.6	105.6
opponent	15.3	14.8		108.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.5	15.9	16.0	15.2	15.9
NOP	14.2	12.3	14.0	17.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	24	26	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-6	10	15.6	16.0	-0.38	11.8	15.4	-3.53
Meyers Leonard	11	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	2	-6	16.2	15.9	0.31	12.2	14.7	-2.47
Joel Freeland	27	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	2	-6	15.5	16.1	-0.59	11.5	15.6	-4.08
Robin Lopez	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	1	-4	16.4	15.4	0.99	14.6	14.3	0.28
Damian Lillard	81	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.48	8	-10	18	15.7	16.9	-1.12	14.7	12.5	2.17
Wesley Matthews	74	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-3	4	15.9	15.8	0.12	15.5	10.9	4.56
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-1	0	16.3	14.4	1.84	15.1	12.1	2.97
Mo Williams	60	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.40	-5	3	-8	15.4	16.7	-1.28	13.8	15.4	-1.52
Nicolas Batum	76	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	15.9	15.8	0.14	15.0	12.1	2.93

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	73	75	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.53	8	-6	14	15.4	11.1	4.26	16.0	15.7	0.26
Tyreke Evans	60	58	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-3	8	13.7	15.6	-1.93	15.5	16.5	-1.04
Jrue Holiday	71	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-4	10	15.5	11.1	4.40	16.5	14.1	2.34
Al-Farouq Aminu	75	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.54	-3	5	-8	15.4	10.8	4.57	15.7	16.7	-1.04
Ryan Anderson	80	79	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	-4	10	14.6	13.2	1.44	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Alexis Ajinca	4	4	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	5	-8	10.7	14.6	-3.82	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Anthony Morrow	36	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	1	0	15.4	13.8	1.66	16.3	15.6	0.68
Greg Stiemsma	15	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	1	0	10.1	15.2	-5.16	16.0	15.9	0.11
Brian Roberts	32	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	5	-8	11.1	16.1	-4.95	15.2	16.2	-0.98
Austin Rivers	29	29	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	10	-18	12.7	15.2	-2.53	16.1	15.8	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.53,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.79,0.86,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.73,1	92.6%
SEA 92, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.69,0.84,1	92.6%
IND 88, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.85,1	92.2%